Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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13 May 2019 Poor Data in Mexico are Gradually Setting the Stage for Rate Cuts

External and domestic shocks in Mexico over the last two years, including the "gasolinazo", NAFTA renegotiation and the presidential election, have put the country's...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th May 2019 20:20Latin America

12 December 2018 Mexico's Leading Indicators Signal a Challenging Near-term Outlook

Mexico's economy is not accelerating, but it is holding up very well in difficult circumstances, with rising domestic political risk and stifling interest rates.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Dec 2018 19:10Latin America

26 November 2018 Mexico's Economy Had a Good 2018 Will it Pivot to an Ugly 2019

Mexico's economic picture remains positive, although the outlook for 2019 is growing cloudy as the economy likely will lose momentum if AMLO's populist approach continues...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)25th Nov 2018 19:20Latin America

15 October 2018 Mexico's Industrial Output will Improve Fundamentals are Strong

The industrial production trajectory in Mexico looked strong going into Q3, but Friday's report for August threatens to change that picture.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)14th Oct 2018 20:20Latin America

2 October 2018 Good News for Mexico's Prospects, the USMCA will Boost Sentiment

The U.S. reached a trade agreement with Canada on Sunday, adding its northern neighbour to the pact sealed a month ago with Mexico.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Oct 2018 20:10Latin America

25 September 2018 Mexico's Inflation Edged Lower in mid-September Pressures are Tame

Inflation in Mexico surprised to the downside in late Q3, supporting our core view that it will continue to fall gradually over the coming months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Sep 2018 20:10Latin America

24 September 2018 Good News on Brazil Inflation, but all Eyes are on the Presidential Race

Broad-based inflation pressures in Brazil remain tame despite the sharp BRL depreciation this year, totalling about 7% in the last three months alone.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Sep 2018 20:20Latin America

12 September 2018 The MXN Remains Resilient, but Can it Withstand Broad EM Pressure

Mexico has been one of LatAm's highlights in terms of financial markets and currency performance in recent months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Sep 2018 20:20Latin America

29 August 2018 Mexico's Prospects to Improve Following the New NAFTA Pact

Mexico's risk profile and financial metrics have improved in recent days, following news of a preliminary bilateral trade deal with the U.S. on Monday.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Aug 2018 20:10Latin America

28 August 2018 Mexico Struggled at the End of the First Half Will it Rebound

The Mexican economy shrank by 0.2% quarter- on-quarter in Q2, according to the final GDP report, a tenth worse than the preliminary reading.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Aug 2018 20:10Latin America

1 August 2018 Mexico's Q2 GDP Dips, Due to Weakness in the Industrial Sector

Yesterday's first estimate of Q2 GDP in Mexico confirmed that the economy lost momentum in recent months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)31st Jul 2018 20:10Latin America

24 July 2018 Mexico's Services Sector Still Driving the Economic Cycle

Economic activity in Mexico during the past few months has been resilient, as external and domestic threats, particularly domestic political risks, appear to have diminished.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Jul 2018 18:20Latin America

17 July 2018 External Threats and Domestic Woes Will Limit LatAm's Recovery

External conditions are becoming more demanding for LatAm economies, with global trade tensions intensifying in recent weeks.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)16th Jul 2018 18:30Latin America

10 July 2018 Modest Inflation Pressures will Help Central Banks in Q3 and Most of Q4

Inflation in Mexico edged higher in the second half, but we expect both the headline and core rates to continue falling, allowing Banxico to keep interest rates on hold.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Jul 2018 18:30Latin America

9 July 2018 The MXN Rebound Likely will Allow Banxico to Keep Rates on Hold

The Banxico minutes from the June 20 meeting, released last Thursday, offered more detail about the outlook for policy in the near term.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Jul 2018 17:50Latin America

25 June 2018 Banxico Hikes Preventively, the Next Move Will Depend on the MXN

Mexican policymakers voted unanimously last Thursday to hike the main rate by 25bp to 7.75%, the highest since early 2009.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Jun 2018 17:44Latin America

13 June 2018 Mexico's Manufacturing Activity in April was Weak, but it Will Improve

Mexico's industrial recovery, which began in late Q4, lost momentum at the start of the second quarter.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Jun 2018 18:10Latin America

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