Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

monetary policy

30 July 2021 Mr Castillo's Bittersweet Speech Packs Few Punches for Markets

Left-wing Mr. Castillo is sworn in as president of Peru; the inaugural speech provokes mixed reviews... ...But the opposition will lead Congress, easing the risks of populist...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

23 July 2021 Mexico's CPI Inflation is Likely to Remain Stubbornly High in H2

As we move on into the second half of the year, the Mexican economy looks poised for a sustained recovery, provided both private consumption and external demand momentum is...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

21 July 2021 Inflation Pressures are Easing in Argentina, but the Outlook is Grim

Argentina's inflation pressures continue to ease on a sequential basis, improving the ruling party's chances of performing well in the mid-term elections, slated for November.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

20 July 2021 Peru's Economic Activity on its Way to Pre-crisis Levels After a Poor Q1

Peru's economic recovery resumed in May, following a poor performance in the three previous months, due to the worsening of the pandemic, and increased political/ policy risk.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

19 July 2021 Colombia's Economy was on the Ropes in Q2, due to the Protests

May's activity data underline the dramatic effect of the social unrest in Colombia's economic growth. The latest data show that retail sales, excluding the volatile fuel and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

16 July 2021 Chile's Central Bank Joins the Monetary Tightening

Chile's central bank has joined the bandwagon of monetary policy normalisation that started in the region with Brazil and Brigade has expanded, more recently, to Banxico. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

15 July 2021 High Political Risk to Constrain the Commodity-Driven Rebound

Mexico -- A pause despite an improving outlook Colombia -- Improving as social tensions ease Chile -- Political uncertainty prevails

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

14 July 2021 Rising Commodity Prices are Helping LatAm's Economic Upturn

Continued improving global growth and its impact on the goods sector are particularly beneficial in LatAm, where the rapid recovery of commodity prices poses added upside risks...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

12 July 2021 Will Brazil's Private Consumption Recovery Continue in H2?

May's official retail sales figures in Brazil have supported renewed optimism on the outlook for the sector, following a downtrend in Q1.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

8 July 2021 Temporary Downside Pressures; Q3 will be better

Brazilian Real -- Starting Q3 on a weak footing Colombian Peso -- Investment grade days are over Chilean Peso --The copper-driven sell-off is easing

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

7 July 2021 Mexico's Capex Recovery Stuttered in Early Q2, but it will Improve Soon

Recent private consumption indicators in Mexico have been positive, thanks to the gradual reopening of the economy, due to decent progress in vaccine rollout and lower Covid...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

5 July 2021 Colombia's Investment Grade Days are Over; Chile's Recovery is on Track

Colombia lost its coveted investment-grade rating on Thursday, after Fitch became the second agency to downgrade the country's debt to junk status, citing concerns about the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

2 July 2021 Argentina's Recovery is Stalling, and the Second Half Looks Tough

Argentina's April economic activity report unsurprisingly showed that activity remained greatly depressed by lockdown rules--restrictions have been tightened significantly since...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

30 June 2021 BanRep Keeps Rates on Hold, but Conditions are Deteriorating Rapidly

Colombia's central bank, BanRep, left the reference rate on hold on Monday, at 1.75%, in line with market expectations.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

28 June 2021 Brazil's Inflation Jumps Above 8%, but the Downshift will Resume Soon

In Brazil, bad inflation news was the main economic highlight last week. The data confirm that the central bank will continue to hike interest rates, by at least 75bp, at its...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

25 June 2021 Banxico Hikes Interest Rates, Trying to Lower Inflation Expectations

Mexican policymakers have voted by a majority to increase the main rate by 25bp to 4.25%, to counter underlying inflation pressures, as the recovery is gathering speed and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

23 June 2021 LatAm FX Markets Under Strain as Global Conditions Turn Challenging

LatAm FX markets have been under severe strain over the last week, following slightly hawkish comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve, suggesting policymakers are now ready to talk...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

21 June 2021 Peru's Recovery Stalled in April; Argentina's Inflation Nightmare

Economic and political uncertainty continues in Peru. It took about two weeks to count all the presidential votes, but Pedro Castillo, who led by only 0.25pp over Keiko Fujimori,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

18 June 2021 The COPOM has Laid the Ground for Policy Neutrality Later this Year

Brazil's COPOM made it clear on Wednesday that it will be raising the Selic rate to the neutral level in the near term. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

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