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Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email firstname.lastname@example.org, or contact your account rep
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In one line: The tightening cycle likely will continue, despite the dissenters.
Consumers' spending in Brazil ended Q2 poorly, but it will improve soon as virus restrictions ease.
Mexico's industrial production fell in June, due mainly to the continued troubles in the auto sector.
Conditions will improve in the second half of the year, but supply-side disruptions will remain a drag.
Mexico — Doing well, despite many challenges
Chile — Politics and copper prices cap the upturn
Peru — Political uncertainty will remain a drag
In one line: Industrial production has stalled.
Mexico's core inflation is at cyclical highs and rising; the reopening of the economy is mostly responsible.
Inflation will stay well above Banxico's target range over H2, forcing policymakers to hike interest rates.
Fixed investment and private consumption continued to recover in Q2, the near-term outlook is positive.
Brazil's BCB indicates that it will tighten beyond neu- tral levels as the inflation outlook deteriorates.
The COPOM's hawkish rhetoric is good news in terms of re-anchoring inflation expectations.
Peru's BCRP will increase the main rate next week as the currency slide fuels inflation.
Brazilian industrial production ended Q2 on a soft footing, but leading indicators point to a decent H2.
That said, supply-side constraints and rising prices remain a big near-term threat for manufacturers.
Mexico’s PMI remained resilient in July, but a modest downtrend likely will emerge in Q3.
Colombia’s central bank kept the main rate on hold, but the split Board introduced a clear hawkish tone.
Inflation is rising rapidly, and prospects remain grim; BanRep will hike rates next month.
Chile's economic recovery consolidated in June, thanks mainly to solid services activity.
Mexico's economy gathered speed in Q2, thanks to solid services activity and despite one-off shocks.
Manufacturing activity has stalled, due to global supply issues, but conditions likely will stabilise soon.
Further good news from Chile's retail sector and manufacturing ended Q2 on a solid footing.
Mexico's economic recovery continued to gather traction in Q2, thanks to improving services activity.
Manufacturing is struggling, due to supply issues, but conditions likely will stabilise over H2.
Brazil's external accounts remain solid, but the trend in key components is now rolling over.
In one line: Mexico's recovery gathered speed in May.
Mexico's unemployment rate fell in June, and the underlying downtrend is robust.
Supply-related issues, the third Covid wave, and Banxico's tightening, are the main threats.
BanRep likely will stay on the sidelines on Friday, but it will hike rates in September as inflation bites
In one line: A decent rebound, and the near-term outlook is positive.
In one line: The inflation picture remains challenging; more rate hikes coming.
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