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Consumers' spending in Brazil ended Q2 poorly, but it will improve soon as virus restrictions ease.
Mexico's industrial production fell in June, due mainly to the continued troubles in the auto sector.
Conditions will improve in the second half of the year, but supply-side disruptions will remain a drag.
Mexico — Doing well, despite many challenges
Chile — Politics and copper prices cap the upturn
Peru — Political uncertainty will remain a drag
Mexico's core inflation is at cyclical highs and rising; the reopening of the economy is mostly responsible.
Inflation will stay well above Banxico's target range over H2, forcing policymakers to hike interest rates.
Fixed investment and private consumption continued to recover in Q2, the near-term outlook is positive.
Brazil's BCB indicates that it will tighten beyond neu- tral levels as the inflation outlook deteriorates.
The COPOM's hawkish rhetoric is good news in terms of re-anchoring inflation expectations.
Peru's BCRP will increase the main rate next week as the currency slide fuels inflation.
Brazilian industrial production ended Q2 on a soft footing, but leading indicators point to a decent H2.
That said, supply-side constraints and rising prices remain a big near-term threat for manufacturers.
Mexico’s PMI remained resilient in July, but a modest downtrend likely will emerge in Q3.
Colombia’s central bank kept the main rate on hold, but the split Board introduced a clear hawkish tone.
Inflation is rising rapidly, and prospects remain grim; BanRep will hike rates next month.
Chile's economic recovery consolidated in June, thanks mainly to solid services activity.
Mexico's economy gathered speed in Q2, thanks to solid services activity and despite one-off shocks.
Manufacturing activity has stalled, due to global supply issues, but conditions likely will stabilise soon.
Further good news from Chile's retail sector and manufacturing ended Q2 on a solid footing.
Chile — Political risk improves further
Peru — Castillo finally declared president-elect
Colombia — Duque presents a social-driven fiscal bill
Mexico — A pause despite an improving outlook
Colombia — Improving as social tensions ease
Chile — Political uncertainty prevails
Continued improving global growth and its impact on the goods sector are particularly beneficial in LatAm, where the rapid recovery of commodity prices poses added upside risks as the economies gradually reopen.
Argentina's April economic activity report unsurprisingly showed that activity remained greatly depressed by lockdown rules—restrictions have been tightened significantly since late May—despite improving external conditions.
Mexico — Mid-term election results boost the outlook
Chile — Political risk improves at the margin
Peru — Castillo claims victory, but Fujimuri still fights
Chile — Heightened economic and political uncertainty
Peru — Leftist Castillo close to win the election
Colombia — Social tensions easing at the margin
This Sunday, all eyes will be focused on the final result of the midterm elections in Mexico and the presidential run-off in Peru.
Data released in recent days have confirmed that the Chilean economy struggled in early Q2, due to the worsening of the pandemic which triggered localised lockdowns and curfews.
Inflation in Mexico is finally stabilizing and non-core inflation is edging lower, due to the fading of the Covid base effect, but the reopening of the economy and temporary shocks are keeping the headline very sticky.
Colombia — Protests roiling the economy
Chile — Independents wins the Constitutional vote
Peru — The presidential race remains wide open
Brazil — Doing well, but downside risks prevail
Chile — An improving economic outlook, despite Covid
Peru — Political uncertainty sky-rocket
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