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Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email email@example.com, or contact your account rep
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Mexico — Doing well, despite many challenges
Chile — Politics and copper prices cap the upturn
Peru — Political uncertainty will remain a drag
Peruvian New Sol — President Castillo already on fire
Chilean Peso —The copper-driven sell-off
Colombian Peso — Deteriorating fundamentals
Chile — Political risk improves further
Peru — Castillo finally declared president-elect
Colombia — Duque presents a social-driven fiscal bill
Peru's economic recovery resumed in May, following a poor performance in the three previous months, due to the worsening of the pandemic, and increased political/ policy risk.
Chile's central bank has joined the bandwagon of monetary policy normalisation that started in the region with Brazil and Brigade has expanded, more recently, to Banxico.
Mexico — A pause despite an improving outlook
Colombia — Improving as social tensions ease
Chile — Political uncertainty prevails
Colombia lost its coveted investment-grade rating
on Thursday, after Fitch became the second agency
to downgrade the country’s debt to junk status, citing concerns about the deterioration of the public finances with large fiscal deficits in 2020-to-2022, a rising government debt, and reduced confidence over the capacity of the government to credibly reduce the debt in the coming years.
External accounts in LatAm likely will continue to improve over the next few months, thanks to the global economic recovery.
Mexican policymakers have voted by a majority to increase the main rate by 25bp to 4.25%, to counter underlying inflation pressures, as the recovery is gathering speed and external conditions are turning more challenging for EM.
LatAm FX markets have been under severe strain over the last week, following slightly hawkish comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve, suggesting policymakers are now ready to talk about tapering.
Mexico — Mid-term election results boost the outlook
Chile — Political risk improves at the margin
Peru — Castillo claims victory, but Fujimuri still fights
The May industrial production data, released on Friday, brought discouraging news about the state of the Mexican economy in the very near term, due to supply issues and temporary shocks. But we expect better news in Q3.
Chile — Heightened economic and political uncertainty
Peru — Leftist Castillo close to win the election
Colombia — Social tensions easing at the margin
LatAm financial markets likely will rebound over the coming weeks following the result of the mid-term elections in Mexico and the presidential run-off in Peru.
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