Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

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30 July 2021 Mr Castillo's Bittersweet Speech Packs Few Punches for Markets

Left-wing Mr. Castillo is sworn in as president of Peru; the inaugural speech provokes mixed reviews... ...But the opposition will lead Congress, easing the risks of populist...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

26 July 2021 Inflation in Brazil Started Q3 Badly; Electricity Tariffs Remain a Problem

Inflation in Brazil started Q3 badly, due mainly to higher electricity tariffs as weather conditions bite. Mexico's retail sector remains resilient, thanks to the reopening of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

20 July 2021 Peru's Economic Activity on its Way to Pre-crisis Levels After a Poor Q1

Peru's economic recovery resumed in May, following a poor performance in the three previous months, due to the worsening of the pandemic, and increased political/ policy risk.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

19 July 2021 Colombia's Economy was on the Ropes in Q2, due to the Protests

May's activity data underline the dramatic effect of the social unrest in Colombia's economic growth. The latest data show that retail sales, excluding the volatile fuel and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

16 July 2021 Chile's Central Bank Joins the Monetary Tightening

Chile's central bank has joined the bandwagon of monetary policy normalisation that started in the region with Brazil and Brigade has expanded, more recently, to Banxico. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

12 July 2021 Will Brazil's Private Consumption Recovery Continue in H2?

May's official retail sales figures in Brazil have supported renewed optimism on the outlook for the sector, following a downtrend in Q1.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

7 July 2021 Mexico's Capex Recovery Stuttered in Early Q2, but it will Improve Soon

Recent private consumption indicators in Mexico have been positive, thanks to the gradual reopening of the economy, due to decent progress in vaccine rollout and lower Covid...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

5 July 2021 Colombia's Investment Grade Days are Over; Chile's Recovery is on Track

Colombia lost its coveted investment-grade rating on Thursday, after Fitch became the second agency to downgrade the country's debt to junk status, citing concerns about the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

25 June 2021 Banxico Hikes Interest Rates, Trying to Lower Inflation Expectations

Mexican policymakers have voted by a majority to increase the main rate by 25bp to 4.25%, to counter underlying inflation pressures, as the recovery is gathering speed and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

21 June 2021 Peru's Recovery Stalled in April; Argentina's Inflation Nightmare

Economic and political uncertainty continues in Peru. It took about two weeks to count all the presidential votes, but Pedro Castillo, who led by only 0.25pp over Keiko Fujimori,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

16 June 2021 Andean Economies Struggled in Early Q2 Amid Domestic Headwinds

Andean economies have been struggling recently, owing to the worsening of the pandemic, rising political risk, and social unrest.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

15 June 2021 Brazil's Recovery will Continue, Despite a Soft Start to Q2

The economic data flow in Brazil remains positive; private spending is improving in response to the gradual reopening of the economy, the lagged effect of solid monetary and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

9 June 2021 Solid Retail Sales Numbers in Brazil; the Outlook Remains Positive

The economic data flow in Brazil remains upbeat, following a temporary blip in late Q1, due to the worsening of the pandemic, which triggered localised lockdown measures and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

4 June 2021 Mexico and Peru, Elections, Markets, and the Recovery in a Covid World

This Sunday, all eyes will be focused on the final result of the midterm elections in Mexico and the presidential run-off in Peru.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

2 June 2021 Chile's Recovery Stalled in April, but Momentum will Improve Soon

Data released in recent days have confirmed that the Chilean economy struggled in early Q2, due to the worsening of the pandemic which triggered localised lockdowns and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

1 June 2021 Brazil's Q1 GDP will Confirm a Resilient Economy Despite Covid

Data slated for today likely will confirm that Brazil's economic recovery consolidated in the first quarter and the near-term outlook remains benign. Real GDP likely rose about...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

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