Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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28 July 2021 Mexico's Recovery Gathered Speed in May, Despite Temporary Shocks

Mexico's economic recovery continued to gather traction in Q2, thanks to improving services activity. Manufacturing is struggling, due to supply issues, but conditions likely...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

26 July 2021 Inflation in Brazil Started Q3 Badly; Electricity Tariffs Remain a Problem

Inflation in Brazil started Q3 badly, due mainly to higher electricity tariffs as weather conditions bite. Mexico's retail sector remains resilient, thanks to the reopening of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

23 July 2021 Mexico's CPI Inflation is Likely to Remain Stubbornly High in H2

As we move on into the second half of the year, the Mexican economy looks poised for a sustained recovery, provided both private consumption and external demand momentum is...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

21 July 2021 Inflation Pressures are Easing in Argentina, but the Outlook is Grim

Argentina's inflation pressures continue to ease on a sequential basis, improving the ruling party's chances of performing well in the mid-term elections, slated for November.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

19 July 2021 Colombia's Economy was on the Ropes in Q2, due to the Protests

May's activity data underline the dramatic effect of the social unrest in Colombia's economic growth. The latest data show that retail sales, excluding the volatile fuel and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

15 July 2021 High Political Risk to Constrain the Commodity-Driven Rebound

Mexico -- A pause despite an improving outlook Colombia -- Improving as social tensions ease Chile -- Political uncertainty prevails

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Economic activity index, Brazil, May 2021

In one line: Growth well below expectations, but June likely saw renewed progress.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

14 July 2021 Rising Commodity Prices are Helping LatAm's Economic Upturn

Continued improving global growth and its impact on the goods sector are particularly beneficial in LatAm, where the rapid recovery of commodity prices poses added upside risks...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

13 July 2021 Supply Issues are Hurting Mexico's Manufacturing Sector

We are expecting a 0.6% quarter-on-quarter rise in Mexican industrial output in Q2, slightly below our previous forecast, 0.8%, in the wake of May's report.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

12 July 2021 Will Brazil's Private Consumption Recovery Continue in H2?

May's official retail sales figures in Brazil have supported renewed optimism on the outlook for the sector, following a downtrend in Q1.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

7 July 2021 Mexico's Capex Recovery Stuttered in Early Q2, but it will Improve Soon

Recent private consumption indicators in Mexico have been positive, thanks to the gradual reopening of the economy, due to decent progress in vaccine rollout and lower Covid...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

6 July 2021 Brazil's Industrial Recovery Resumed in May, and the Outlook is Benign

razil's industrial sector gathered momentum in mid-Q2, following a downtrend in the previous three months, when the sector was struggling with the worsening of the pandemic, and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

5 July 2021 Colombia's Investment Grade Days are Over; Chile's Recovery is on Track

Colombia lost its coveted investment-grade rating on Thursday, after Fitch became the second agency to downgrade the country's debt to junk status, citing concerns about the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

2 July 2021 Argentina's Recovery is Stalling, and the Second Half Looks Tough

Argentina's April economic activity report unsurprisingly showed that activity remained greatly depressed by lockdown rules--restrictions have been tightened significantly since...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

30 June 2021 BanRep Keeps Rates on Hold, but Conditions are Deteriorating Rapidly

Colombia's central bank, BanRep, left the reference rate on hold on Monday, at 1.75%, in line with market expectations.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

28 June 2021 Brazil's Inflation Jumps Above 8%, but the Downshift will Resume Soon

In Brazil, bad inflation news was the main economic highlight last week. The data confirm that the central bank will continue to hike interest rates, by at least 75bp, at its...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Economic activity index, Mexico, April 2021

In one line: A soft start to the second quarter, but conditions will improve in May.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

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