Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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2 Mar 2021 Chile, LatAm's Rising Star, Continued to Recover in January Despite Covid

2 Mar 2021 Chile, LatAm's Rising Star, Continued to Recover in January Despite Covid

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Mar 2021 19:20Latin America

22 Jan 2021 COPOM Confirms it will Start to Hike Rates, but not Immediately

Brazil's COPOM surprised no one by voting unanimously this week to keep the Selic Rate at 2.00%, an historic low, and removing the previous forward guidance.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

18 Dec 2020 Banxico Misses Another Chance, will Argentina's Woes Continue

Mexican policymakers voted by three to two to keep the main rate on hold at 4.25%, its lowest level since early 2006, despite falling inflation, better external conditions, the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

16 Dec 2020 Colombia Ends the Year Solidly, but Downside Risks for Q1 Emerge

Incoming activity data from Colombia over the past quarter have been relatively strong, as economic activity resumes in key regions badly affected by the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Dec 2020 17:30Latin America

8 Dec 2020 Andean Inflation Ending the Year at a Comfortable Rate, H1 Looks Benign

Inflation in the Andes is ending the year at a comfortable rate, allowing policymakers to keep interest rates at historic lows.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

4 Dec 2020 GDP Growth will Rise in Brazil Next Year, but the First Half will be Tough

Data released yesterday confirm that Brazil's recovery emerged in the third quarter, supported mainly by rebounding capex growth and household consumption.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

2 Dec 2020 The Recovery in the Andes Continues, but the Virus is a Threat

Chile's IMACEC activity index for October, released yesterday, was well below market expectations, falling by 0.5% month-to-month, following four consecutive gains.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

20 Nov 2020 Chile's Growth Rebounded in Q3, but did not Reverse all the Covid Hit

Data released this week confirmed that Q3 real GDP growth in the Andes rebounded sharply, on a sequential basis, as the region's economies gradually reopened.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

4 Nov 2020 Chile's Economic Activity Rebounded in Q3, but Uncertainty Remains High

Economic conditions are improving rapidly in Chile, in line with the relatively strong IMACEC reading for Q3 and upbeat leading indicators. This supports our case for interest...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

19 Oct 2020 Colombia's Upturn Disappointed in August, but Q4 will be Slightly Better

Evidence of weakening momentum in the economic recovery in Colombia was seen last week, alongside its regional peers and some DM economies. Low inflation, low interest rates, and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)18th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

2 Oct 2020 Chile's Economy is Finally on the Mend, the Outlook is Improving

Chile's upbeat economic activity reports for August are consistent with economic recovery in the second half of the year, after an ugly first half.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

22 Sept 2020 Encouraging Signs that LatAm is Recovering from the Covid Shock

Our forecast for LatAm envisions a gradual pickup in growth, following a terrible first half.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

21 Sept 2020 Inflation Risks in Argentina are Mounting, Despite the Benign Trend

The Argentinian economic recovery continues, from very depressed levels, and the rebound is confronting many setbacks.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

9 Sept 2020 Inflation in Chile Drifted Lower in August, Risks are Low, for Now

Inflation in most economies in LatAm is well under control, allowing central banks to keep a neutral or dovish bias, and giving them room for further rate cuts if the economic...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

8 Sept 2020 Colombia's Inflation Will Remain Low in Q4 due to Weak Demand

CPI data in Colombia released on Saturday confirmed that inflation is well under control, due to plunging domestic demand on the back of Covid, and despite the lagged effect of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

7 Sept 2020 Brazil's Industrial Recovery Gathered Speed in July, But Risks Abound

Brazilian industrial production data released last week were upbeat. Output rose 8.0% month-to-month in July, much better than the consensus forecast for a 5.9% increase.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

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