Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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imacec

2 Mar 2021 Chile, LatAm's Rising Star, Continued to Recover in January Despite Covid

2 Mar 2021 Chile, LatAm's Rising Star, Continued to Recover in January Despite Covid

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Mar 2021 19:20Latin America

8 Dec 2020 Andean Inflation Ending the Year at a Comfortable Rate, H1 Looks Benign

Inflation in the Andes is ending the year at a comfortable rate, allowing policymakers to keep interest rates at historic lows.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

2 Dec 2020 The Recovery in the Andes Continues, but the Virus is a Threat

Chile's IMACEC activity index for October, released yesterday, was well below market expectations, falling by 0.5% month-to-month, following four consecutive gains.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

4 Nov 2020 Chile's Economic Activity Rebounded in Q3, but Uncertainty Remains High

Economic conditions are improving rapidly in Chile, in line with the relatively strong IMACEC reading for Q3 and upbeat leading indicators. This supports our case for interest...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

19 Oct 2020 Colombia's Upturn Disappointed in August, but Q4 will be Slightly Better

Evidence of weakening momentum in the economic recovery in Colombia was seen last week, alongside its regional peers and some DM economies. Low inflation, low interest rates, and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)18th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

2 Oct 2020 Chile's Economy is Finally on the Mend, the Outlook is Improving

Chile's upbeat economic activity reports for August are consistent with economic recovery in the second half of the year, after an ugly first half.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

9 Sept 2020 Inflation in Chile Drifted Lower in August, Risks are Low, for Now

Inflation in most economies in LatAm is well under control, allowing central banks to keep a neutral or dovish bias, and giving them room for further rate cuts if the economic...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

4 Sep 2020 Chile's Central Bank to Keep Rates on Hold for the Foreseeable Future

Recent hard data have confirmed the severe shock from Corona to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

7 Aug 2020 Brazil Likely will Keep Rates on Hold, as Long as the Economy Recovers

The Brazilian Central Bank's policy board-- COPOM--met expectations on Wednesday, voting unanimously to cut the Selic rate by 25bp to 2.00%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

5 Aug 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Showing Solid Signs of Gradual Stabilization

Data released this week in Brazil underscored that the Covid-related shock on the industrial sector is finally easing, as the economy gradually reopens.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

4 Aug 2020 Chile's Economic Recovery Started Strongly in June, Despite the Virus

Data released in recent days confirmed the intensity of the Covid-related shock to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

3 July 2020 BanRep Slows the Pace of Rate Cuts, Despite Record High Unemployment

Data released over the last few weeks have confirmed that Colombia's economic performance in Q2 was grim, adding weight to our below-consensus GDP forecast.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Jul 2020 12:15Latin America

22 June 2020 Bold Fiscal and Monetary Measures to Fight Chile's Pandemic

Economic activity in Chile in the first half of the year is now a write-off, due to Covid-19. The country is in a deep recession, and the impact of lockdowns on labour markets and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Jun 2020 20:20Latin America

3 June 2020 Chile's Economy Collapses in Q2, but Q3 will be Slightly Better

Chile's near-term economic outlook is still negative after a sharp resurgence of coronavirus cases.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Jun 2020 20:10Latin America

19 May 2020 Chile's Q1 GDP Showed Decent Growth, but Q2 will be Trashed

The Chilean economy was emerging in early Q1 from the self-inflicted shock from the social unrest in October, but the upturn was interrupted in early- March by the restrictive...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)18th May 2020 20:20Latin America

5 May 2020 Chile Shows First Signs of the Covid-19 Hit, More Pain to Come

The recent March economic activity reports for Chile have been terrible, showing the first signs of the Covid-19 shock, and worse is to come.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th May 2020 20:10Latin America

6 Mar 2020 Brazil's Economic Recovery to Continue, if Covid-19 Allows it

Data released on Wednesday, along with the BCB's press release on Tuesday, supported our longstanding forecast of further rate cuts in Brazil in the very near term.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Mar 2020 19:10Latin America

4 Mar 2020 Brazil's Survey Data Point to a Steady Upturn, but it will Stutter Soon

The key story in Brazil this year remains one of gradual recovery, but downside risks have increased sharply, due mainly to challenging external conditions.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Mar 2020 19:10Latin America

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