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Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email firstname.lastname@example.org, or contact your account rep
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Mexico's core inflation is at cyclical highs and rising; the reopening of the economy is mostly responsible.
Inflation will stay well above Banxico's target range over H2, forcing policymakers to hike interest rates.
Fixed investment and private consumption continued to recover in Q2, the near-term outlook is positive.
Brazil's BCB indicates that it will tighten beyond neu- tral levels as the inflation outlook deteriorates.
The COPOM's hawkish rhetoric is good news in terms of re-anchoring inflation expectations.
Peru's BCRP will increase the main rate next week as the currency slide fuels inflation.
LatAm as a whole is gradually recovering from the Covid shock, despite a temporary bump in late Q1 and April.
The economic data flow in Brazil remains upbeat, following a temporary blip in late Q1, due to the worsening of the pandemic, which triggered localised lockdown measures and curfews.
In a relatively light week in terms of economic indicators in Brazil, the inflation numbers garnered all the attention.
The weak FX performance year-to-date in LatAm— particularly in Colombia and Peru—due mostly to growing political risk, rising commodity prices, and temporary supply shocks, raises the question of if and when we should start seeing effects on headline inflation.
Rising headline inflation in Brazil has forced the COPOM into a cautious stance, even though growth is under pressure due to the pandemic.
The marquee event in a very busy week in Brazil
was the release of the mid-month inflation report, which showed that inflation pressures are strengthening rapidly, despite the worsening of the pandemic and
the economic slowdown.
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