Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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2 Mar 2021 Chile, LatAm's Rising Star, Continued to Recover in January Despite Covid

2 Mar 2021 Chile, LatAm's Rising Star, Continued to Recover in January Despite Covid

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Mar 2021 19:20Latin America

25 Jan 2021 Inflation in Mexico Rose in January, the Upturn likely will be Short-lived

Data released on Friday showed that underlying inflation pressures in Mexico remain under control, despite overshooting expectations during the first half of January.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Jan 2021 19:20Latin America

2 Dec 2020 The Recovery in the Andes Continues, but the Virus is a Threat

Chile's IMACEC activity index for October, released yesterday, was well below market expectations, falling by 0.5% month-to-month, following four consecutive gains.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

30 Nov 2020 Cyclical Improvement in the Job Markets in Brazil and Mexico, for Now

Data on Friday showed that the upward trend in Brazil's unemployment continued into late Q3, but sectoral data and the gradual reopening of the economy point to better numbers...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

23 Oct 2020 Mexico's Labour Market is Stabilizing, Inflation Remains Sticky, for Now

Mexico's unemployment report, released on Wednesday, confirmed that the labour market is finally on the mend, though the details highlighted that there is a long way to...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

14 Oct 2020 Mexico's Labour Market is Improving, but the Recovery will Stall Soon

The broad message from the Mexican activity data and job market numbers released in recent days is that the economy is finally on the mend, though it seems no longer to be...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

6 Oct 2020 Mexico's PMIs are Improving, but the Near-Term Outlook Remains Bleak

The September PMI surveys in Mexico continue to bolster our argument for a subpar recovery in the second half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

5 Oct 2020 Data Confirm the Recovery in Brazil is on Track, but Momentum is Fading

Brazil's Q3 hard data have confirmed that the economy is recovering from the Corona shock, as economic activity resumes. But some indicators are losing momentum, and the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

29 Sept 2020 LatAm Central Banks have Closed the Door to Further Easing

Recent economic data in LatAm have alleviated concerns following weakness in the first half of the year, inflicted by Covid, and have even added some upside risks to our...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

23 Sept 2020 Banxico's Easing Cycle Likely will Begin to Slow Down Tomorrow

Banxico's board will meet tomorrow and we expect a 25bp rate cut to 4.25%, in line with the consensus.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

7 Sept 2020 Brazil's Industrial Recovery Gathered Speed in July, But Risks Abound

Brazilian industrial production data released last week were upbeat. Output rose 8.0% month-to-month in July, much better than the consensus forecast for a 5.9% increase.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

4 Sep 2020 Chile's Central Bank to Keep Rates on Hold for the Foreseeable Future

Recent hard data have confirmed the severe shock from Corona to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

1 Sep 2020 Don't Expect LatAm's Output to Reach Pre-Covid Levels this Year

The worst of the pandemic seems to be over in many countries in LatAm, allowing a gradual reopening of their economies.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)31st Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

25 Aug 2020 Covid Cases are Easing in Mexico Supporting a Soft Economic Upturn

New Covid-19 cases in Mexico have continued to fall steadily over this month, with deaths peaking two weeks ago, as shown in our first chart.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Aug 2020 18:20Latin America

24 Aug 2020 Weak Growth and Low Inflation in LatAm, Central Banks on Hold

While we were on holiday, the data confirmed that economies have been badly hit by the pandemic in Q2, and that the upturn will be gradual.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Aug 2020 18:30Latin America

7 Aug 2020 Brazil Likely will Keep Rates on Hold, as Long as the Economy Recovers

The Brazilian Central Bank's policy board-- COPOM--met expectations on Wednesday, voting unanimously to cut the Selic rate by 25bp to 2.00%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

5 Aug 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Showing Solid Signs of Gradual Stabilization

Data released this week in Brazil underscored that the Covid-related shock on the industrial sector is finally easing, as the economy gradually reopens.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

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