Pantheon Macroeconomics

Best viewed on a device with a bigger screen...

Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

donald trump

20 July 2020 What would it Mean for LatAm if Biden Wins the U.S. Election?

In about 100 days, the LatAm economy and financial markets will face a defining moment in the face of uncertainty, namely, the outcome of the U.S. presidential election.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Jul 2020 20:20Latin America

5 May 2020 Chile Shows First Signs of the Covid-19 Hit, More Pain to Come

The recent March economic activity reports for Chile have been terrible, showing the first signs of the Covid-19 shock, and worse is to come.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th May 2020 20:10Latin America

26 Feb 2020 Global Threats will Continue to Hurt the Mexican Economy this Year

Data released yesterday confirmed that Mexico's economy ended Q4 poorly, confounding the most hawkish Banxico Board members.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)25th Feb 2020 19:10Latin America

12 Feb 2020 COPOM Closed the Door to Further Easing, Mexico's Industry Struggles

Yesterday's minutes of the February 4-to-5 COPOM meeting, at which Brazil's central bank, the BCB, cut the benchmark Selic rate by 25bp to 4.25%, reaffirmed the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Feb 2020 19:10Latin America

11 Dec 2019 Mexico's Leading Indicators Still Signal Tough Near-term Prospects

Recent activity data in Mexico have been soft and leading indicators still point to challenging near-term prospects, due mainly to relatively high domestic political risk,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2019 19:10Latin America

4 Dec 2019 GDP Growth Will Rise in Brazil Next Year, but External Risk is Looming

Data released yesterday confirm that Brazil's recovery has continued over the second half of the year, supported by steady capex growth and rebounding household consumption.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Dec 2019 19:10Latin America

3 Dec 2019 Tariffs on Steel Aluminium Highlight Downside Risks for LatAm

President Trump tweeted yesterday that he wants to re-introduce tariffs on steel and aluminium imports from Brazil and Argentina, after accusing these economies of intentionally...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Dec 2019 19:10Latin America

7 Oct 2019 Progress on Brazil's Fiscal Reform Resilient Remittances in Mexico

The Brazilian Senate concluded last week the first vote- of-two- on the pension reform.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Oct 2019 20:20Latin America

23 July 2019 A Stable MXN will Allow Banxico to Cut Interest Rates, Despite Politics

The MXN remains the best performer in LatAm year-to-date, despite some ugly periods of high volatility driven by external and domestic threats.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Jul 2019 20:10Latin America

15 July 2019 Mexico's Industrial Sector Remains Subdued Banxico to Cut Soon

Downbeat sectoral data and weakening consumer spending numbers indicate that the Mexican economy remains in bad shape.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)14th Jul 2019 20:20Latin America

8 July 2019 Will the Weakness of Mexican Capex and Consumption Continue?

Data released last week confirmed that Mexico's economy stumbled in the first half of the year, hurt by a temporary shocks in both the industrial and services sectors, and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Jul 2019 20:20Latin America

2 July 2019 The Sino-U.S. Trade Truce is Good News for LatAm, but Risks Remain

The truce in trade relations between the U.S. and China, agreed at the G20, is good news for LatAm, at least for now.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Jul 2019 20:10Latin America

24 June 2019 External Threats are Easing, Can Banxico Adopt a Dovish Tone?

Data released in recent days confirm the story of a struggling economy and falling inflation pressures in Mexico, strengthening our forecast of interest rate cuts over the second...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Jun 2019 20:20Latin America

12 June 2019 Mexico's Manufacturing Remains Resilient USMCA Deal Awaits

Mexico's industrial production report released yesterday brought encouraging news about the state of the economy, helping relieve some doubts about its health.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Jun 2019 20:10Latin America

11 June 2019 Chile's Central Bank Folded in the Face of the Trade War

The border security agreement between the U.S. and Mexico has strengthened hopes that the Sino- U.S. trade war will end soon.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Jun 2019 20:10Latin America

10 June 2019 Rising Threats of Protectionism is Making Central Banks Very Uneasy

LatAm's growth outlook is deteriorating, despite decent domestic fundamentals and political transitions toward more market-oriented governments in some of the region's...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Jun 2019 20:20Latin America

7 June 2019 The Rising Threat of Protectionism Is Hurting More than Just the MXN

Monday will see 5% tariffs going into effect on Mexican exports to the U.S.--which totalled about USD360B last year--unless President Trump steps back from the brink.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Jun 2019 20:10Latin America

3 June 2019 The Trade War Deepens, Mexico's Economy is Under Heavy Fire

President Trump's volatile diplomatic style is one of the biggest risks facing the Mexican economy in the near term, as we have discussed in previous Monitors.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Jun 2019 20:20Latin America

15 May 2019 The Escalation of Trade Tensions Fans Concerns for LatAm's Upturn

LatAm assets did well in Q1, on the back of upbeat investor risk sentiment, low volatility in developed markets and a relatively benign USD.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)14th May 2019 20:10Latin America

1 May 2019 Uncertainty in Mexico Triggered a Sharp Economic Slowdown in Q1

Yesterday's first estimate of Q1 GDP in Mexico confirmed that growth was under severe pressure at the start of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Apr 2019 20:10Latin America

  Publication Filters

Change View: List   Small Grid  

Filter by Keyword

Filter by Publication Type

Filter by Author

Global Publications Only

Filter by Date

  Quick Tag Filters

Consistently Right

Access Key Enabled Navigation

Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault,