Latin America

Mexican policymakers voted by three to two to keep the main rate on hold at 4.25%, its lowest level since early 2006, despite falling inflation, better external conditions, the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

Data released last week strengthened the case for interest rate cuts in Mexico in the very near term. Our base case is that Banxico will cut by 25bp to 4.0% on Thursday, by a slim...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

1 Dec 2020 Robust Current Account Balances in Brazil and Mexico, Thanks to Covid

The Covid-related shock has been behind substantial improvements in the current accounts of Brazil and Mexico this year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

20 Nov 2020 Chile's Growth Rebounded in Q3, but did not Reverse all the Covid Hit

Data released this week confirmed that Q3 real GDP growth in the Andes rebounded sharply, on a sequential basis, as the region's economies gradually reopened.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

13 Nov 2020 Banxico Hold Rates, but it Hasn't Closed the Door to Further Easing

Mexican policymakers voted yesterday by four to one to keep the main rate at 4.25%, surprising the consensus forecast for a 25bp rate cut.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

9 Nov 2020 Inflation Edged Higher in Brazil, but Remains at a Comfortable Rate

Inflation data for Brazil released on Friday surprised to the upside once again, driven by the effect of the reopening of the economy and food-related pressures as external demand...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

6 Nov 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Improving, Thanks to Better Fundamentals

Recently released data for Q3 in Brazil have surprised to the upside, but the outlook is darkening for late Q4 and early next year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

20 Oct 2020 Peru'sEconomicRecoveryContinues, the Outlook is Improving

Peru has been one of the most badly-hit LatAm countries, with Covid crushing economic activity.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

19 Oct 2020 Colombia's Upturn Disappointed in August, but Q4 will be Slightly Better

Evidence of weakening momentum in the economic recovery in Colombia was seen last week, alongside its regional peers and some DM economies. Low inflation, low interest rates, and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)18th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

13 Oct 2020 Mexico's Industrial Recovery Continues, but Momentum is Slowing

Yesterday's Mexican industrial production report was downbeat for manufacturing, but revealed that the oil and public construction sectors are starting to show some signs of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

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Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

17 Feb 2021 Peru's Recovery Continued in Q4, before the Second Wave Emerged

16 Feb 2021 A Solid Finish to 2020 for Colombia, but Momentum will Falter in Q1

8 Feb 2021 Mexican Capex Recovery Continues, but Domestic Threats Still Remain

5 Feb 2021 Higher Food and Fuel Prices Push Peru's Inflation Up, Despite Covid

1 Feb 2021 Mexico's Recovery Continued in Q4, but Momentum has Faded

27 Jan 2021 Inflation Pressures in Brazil are Finally Easing on a Sequential Basis

26 Jan 2021 Mexico's IGAE Index was Strong in mid-Q4, but it will Soon Stall

13 Jan 2021 Brazil's Inflation Rebounded in Late Q4, just before the Second Wave

12 Jan 2021 Mexico's Industrial Recovery Continues, but it's a Bumpy Road

22 Dec 2020 The Vaccine is arriving in LatAm, but the Near-Term Outlook is Grim

18 Dec 2020 Banxico Misses Another Chance, will Argentina's Woes Continue

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

1 Dec 2020 Robust Current Account Balances in Brazil and Mexico, Thanks to Covid

20 Nov 2020 Chile's Growth Rebounded in Q3, but did not Reverse all the Covid Hit

13 Nov 2020 Banxico Hold Rates, but it Hasn't Closed the Door to Further Easing

9 Nov 2020 Inflation Edged Higher in Brazil, but Remains at a Comfortable Rate

6 Nov 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Improving, Thanks to Better Fundamentals

20 Oct 2020 Peru'sEconomicRecoveryContinues, the Outlook is Improving

19 Oct 2020 Colombia's Upturn Disappointed in August, but Q4 will be Slightly Better

13 Oct 2020 Mexico's Industrial Recovery Continues, but Momentum is Slowing

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