Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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currencies

12 Oct 2020 Covid-induced Spike in Food Prices Pushes Up Inflation in Brazil and Chile

Inflation data for Brazil and Chile released last week surprised to the upside, but the rebound in September mainly was driven by the effect of the reopening of the economy and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

26 Aug 2020 Inflation and External Accounts Remain Under Control in Brazil

Inflation pressures in Brazil are well under control, with the August mid-month reading falling more than expected, allowing the BCB to cut interest rates in the near term if...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)25th Aug 2020 18:20Latin America

17 Apr 2020 Low Inflation in LatAm Allows Central Banks to Ease Further in Q2

LatAm currencies fell sharply in Q1 but the hit hasn't yet pushed inflation higher.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)16th Apr 2020 20:10Latin America

20 Mar 2020 Monetary and Fiscal Policy Measures to Fight the Economic Armageddon

Economic and financial conditions continue to deteriorate sharply in LatAm.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Mar 2020 20:10Latin America

10 Mar 2020 Heightened Uncertainty Persists in EM, as Oil Prices Continue to Fall

Most countries in LatAm are now fighting a complex global environment; a viral outbreak of biblical proportions and plunging oil prices, after last week's OPEC fiasco.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Mar 2020 20:10Latin America

9 Mar 2020 The Covid-19 Hit Likely will Allow LatAm Banks to Cut Rates Soon

The Fed's 50bp rate cut last week, aiming to shield the U.S. economy against Covid-19, has opened the door for some central banks in LatAm to emulate the move.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Mar 2020 20:20Latin America

3 Mar 2020 A Bad Q1 for LatAm, DM Stimulus will be Only a Temporary Boost

It has been a nasty start to the year for LatAm as markets have been hit by renewed volatility in China, triggered by the coronavirus.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Mar 2020 19:10Latin America

17 Feb 2020 The Coronavirus is a Threat to LatAm, But it Economies Won't Collapse

Over the past 30 years China's role in LatAm and the global economy has increased sharply. Its share of world trade has surged, and its exports have gained significant market...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)16th Feb 2020 19:20Latin America

7 Feb 2020 A Weak Economy Could Challenge COPOM's View that Easing is Over

The Brazilian central bank cut the benchmark Selic interest rate by 25bp, to 4.25%, on Wednesday night, as expected.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Feb 2020 19:10Latin America

3 Feb 2020 Chile to Perform Relatively Well this Year, the Protest Shock will Ease

Chile's stronger-than-expected industrial production report for December, and less-ugly-than- feared retail sales numbers, confirmed that the hit from the Q4 social unrest on...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Feb 2020 19:20Latin America

4 Dec 2019 GDP Growth Will Rise in Brazil Next Year, but External Risk is Looming

Data released yesterday confirm that Brazil's recovery has continued over the second half of the year, supported by steady capex growth and rebounding household consumption.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Dec 2019 19:10Latin America

2 Dec 2019 The Effects of the Protests are Starting to Show up in Chile's Data

LatAm assets and currencies had a bad November, due to global trade war concerns, the USD rebound and domestic factors.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Dec 2019 19:20Latin America

22 Nov 2019 No Respite in Sight for LatAm Currencies in the Near Term

Most LatAm currencies have been under pressure recently, with the Brazilian real and the Chilean peso breaking all-time lows versus the USD in recent weeks.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Nov 2019 19:20Latin America

4 Nov 2019 Brazil's Industrial Sector Improved in Q3, Colombia's Economy is Strong

Thursday and Friday were busy days for LatAm economy watchers. In Brazil, the data underscored our view that the economy is on the mend, but the recent upturn remains shaky, and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Nov 2019 19:20Latin America

20 Sept 2019 The COPOM Cuts Rates and Points to Further Easing in October

The Brazilian Central Bank's policy board-- COPOM--voted unanimously on Wednesday to cut the Selic rate by 50bp to 5.50%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Sep 2019 20:10Latin America

7 June 2019 The Rising Threat of Protectionism Is Hurting More than Just the MXN

Monday will see 5% tariffs going into effect on Mexican exports to the U.S.--which totalled about USD360B last year--unless President Trump steps back from the brink.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Jun 2019 20:10Latin America

4 June 2019 More Negative News for the Andes Economies, due to Trade Tensions

Economic prospects in the Andes have deteriorated significantly in recent weeks, due mainly to the escalation of the trade war.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Jun 2019 20:10Latin America

3 May 2019 Andean Central Bank's Dovish Tone to Continue In Coming Meetings

Inflation and growth paths remain diverse across LatAm, but in the Andes, the broad picture is one of modest inflationary pressures and gradual economic recovery.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd May 2019 20:10Latin America

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