Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

copper prices

23 July 2021 Mexico's CPI Inflation is Likely to Remain Stubbornly High in H2

As we move on into the second half of the year, the Mexican economy looks poised for a sustained recovery, provided both private consumption and external demand momentum is...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

16 July 2021 Chile's Central Bank Joins the Monetary Tightening

Chile's central bank has joined the bandwagon of monetary policy normalisation that started in the region with Brazil and Brigade has expanded, more recently, to Banxico. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)16th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

15 July 2021 High Political Risk to Constrain the Commodity-Driven Rebound

Mexico -- A pause despite an improving outlook Colombia -- Improving as social tensions ease Chile -- Political uncertainty prevails

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

14 July 2021 Rising Commodity Prices are Helping LatAm's Economic Upturn

Continued improving global growth and its impact on the goods sector are particularly beneficial in LatAm, where the rapid recovery of commodity prices poses added upside risks...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)14th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

13 July 2021 Supply Issues are Hurting Mexico's Manufacturing Sector

We are expecting a 0.6% quarter-on-quarter rise in Mexican industrial output in Q2, slightly below our previous forecast, 0.8%, in the wake of May's report.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

8 July 2021 Temporary Downside Pressures; Q3 will be better

Brazilian Real -- Starting Q3 on a weak footing Colombian Peso -- Investment grade days are over Chilean Peso --The copper-driven sell-off is easing

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

7 July 2021 Mexico's Capex Recovery Stuttered in Early Q2, but it will Improve Soon

Recent private consumption indicators in Mexico have been positive, thanks to the gradual reopening of the economy, due to decent progress in vaccine rollout and lower Covid...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

30 June 2021 BanRep Keeps Rates on Hold, but Conditions are Deteriorating Rapidly

Colombia's central bank, BanRep, left the reference rate on hold on Monday, at 1.75%, in line with market expectations.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

28 June 2021 Brazil's Inflation Jumps Above 8%, but the Downshift will Resume Soon

In Brazil, bad inflation news was the main economic highlight last week. The data confirm that the central bank will continue to hike interest rates, by at least 75bp, at its...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

25 June 2021 Banxico Hikes Interest Rates, Trying to Lower Inflation Expectations

Mexican policymakers have voted by a majority to increase the main rate by 25bp to 4.25%, to counter underlying inflation pressures, as the recovery is gathering speed and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)25th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

23 June 2021 LatAm FX Markets Under Strain as Global Conditions Turn Challenging

LatAm FX markets have been under severe strain over the last week, following slightly hawkish comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve, suggesting policymakers are now ready to talk...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

21 June 2021 Peru's Recovery Stalled in April; Argentina's Inflation Nightmare

Economic and political uncertainty continues in Peru. It took about two weeks to count all the presidential votes, but Pedro Castillo, who led by only 0.25pp over Keiko Fujimori,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

16 June 2021 Andean Economies Struggled in Early Q2 Amid Domestic Headwinds

Andean economies have been struggling recently, owing to the worsening of the pandemic, rising political risk, and social unrest.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)16th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

11 June 2021 Inflation Pressures Continue to Mount in Brazil and Mexico

LatAm as a whole is gradually recovering from the Covid shock, despite a temporary bump in late Q1 and April.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

9 June 2021 Solid Retail Sales Numbers in Brazil; the Outlook Remains Positive

The economic data flow in Brazil remains upbeat, following a temporary blip in late Q1, due to the worsening of the pandemic, which triggered localised lockdown measures and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

4 June 2021 Mexico and Peru, Elections, Markets, and the Recovery in a Covid World

This Sunday, all eyes will be focused on the final result of the midterm elections in Mexico and the presidential run-off in Peru.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

3 June 2021 Political Risk Continues to Hurt Andean Currencies

Colombian Peso -- Social tensions persist  Peruvian New Sol -- Neck-and-neck election  Chilean Peso -- A modest drop as copper prices stabilise

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

2 June 2021 Chile's Recovery Stalled in April, but Momentum will Improve Soon

Data released in recent days have confirmed that the Chilean economy struggled in early Q2, due to the worsening of the pandemic which triggered localised lockdowns and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

1 June 2021 Brazil's Q1 GDP will Confirm a Resilient Economy Despite Covid

Data slated for today likely will confirm that Brazil's economic recovery consolidated in the first quarter and the near-term outlook remains benign. Real GDP likely rose about...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

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