Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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21 Dec 2020 BanRep Hold Rates in Split Decision, Peru's Recovery Continues

Colombia's BanRep stuck to the script on Friday by leaving the policy rate on hold at 1.75%. This was the third consecutive meeting concluding with no change in rates, but...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

Data released last week strengthened the case for interest rate cuts in Mexico in the very near term. Our base case is that Banxico will cut by 25bp to 4.0% on Thursday, by a slim...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

11 Dec 2020 Brazil's Central Bank is Becoming Uneasy About Inflation Prospects

Covid-induced spikes in some inflation components in Brazil, particularly food, are clouding the outlook for next year, and have turned the BCB's policy board--...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

24 Nov 2020 Argentina's Growth Rebounded in Q3, but from Very Depressed Levels

Argentina's economic recovery continues, but it will take some time to see output returning to pre-Covid levels, and note that the economy was suffering even before the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

20 Nov 2020 Chile's Growth Rebounded in Q3, but did not Reverse all the Covid Hit

Data released this week confirmed that Q3 real GDP growth in the Andes rebounded sharply, on a sequential basis, as the region's economies gradually reopened.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

13 Nov 2020 Banxico Hold Rates, but it Hasn't Closed the Door to Further Easing

Mexican policymakers voted yesterday by four to one to keep the main rate at 4.25%, surprising the consensus forecast for a 25bp rate cut.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

3 Nov 2020 Mexico's Record Rebound in Q3 GDP Growth will Falter Soon, due to Covid

Mexico's first estimate of third quarter GDP, released last week, confirmed that the economy is still struggling in the face of Covid-related domestic and external headwinds,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

20 Oct 2020 Peru'sEconomicRecoveryContinues, the Outlook is Improving

Peru has been one of the most badly-hit LatAm countries, with Covid crushing economic activity.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

13 Oct 2020 Mexico's Industrial Recovery Continues, but Momentum is Slowing

Yesterday's Mexican industrial production report was downbeat for manufacturing, but revealed that the oil and public construction sectors are starting to show some signs of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

9 Oct 2020 Brazil's Retailers have Shrugged off the Corona Hit, but Threats Remain

Brazil's retail sector has shrugged off the Covid- related shock and leading indicators suggest that activity will continue to improve over the next few months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

7 Oct 2020 Capex Stabilizing in Mexico, Modest Inflation Pressures in the Andes

Data released yesterday confirmed that investment in Mexico has been on the mend since June, but activity still remains depressed.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

5 Oct 2020 Data Confirm the Recovery in Brazil is on Track, but Momentum is Fading

Brazil's Q3 hard data have confirmed that the economy is recovering from the Corona shock, as economic activity resumes. But some indicators are losing momentum, and the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

2 Oct 2020 Chile's Economy is Finally on the Mend, the Outlook is Improving

Chile's upbeat economic activity reports for August are consistent with economic recovery in the second half of the year, after an ugly first half.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

30 Sept 2020 Mexico's External Accounts Continue to Improve, for Now

The improvement in Mexico's trade surplus since mid last year consolidated in Q2, albeit not for any welcome reason, as imports fell more sharply than exports on the back of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

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