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Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email email@example.com, or contact your account rep
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Consumers' spending in Brazil ended Q2 poorly, but it will improve soon as virus restrictions ease.
Mexico's industrial production fell in June, due mainly to the continued troubles in the auto sector.
Conditions will improve in the second half of the year, but supply-side disruptions will remain a drag.
Mexico — Doing well, despite many challenges
Chile — Politics and copper prices cap the upturn
Peru — Political uncertainty will remain a drag
Mexico's core inflation is at cyclical highs and rising; the reopening of the economy is mostly responsible.
Inflation will stay well above Banxico's target range over H2, forcing policymakers to hike interest rates.
Fixed investment and private consumption continued to recover in Q2, the near-term outlook is positive.
Brazil's BCB indicates that it will tighten beyond neu- tral levels as the inflation outlook deteriorates.
The COPOM's hawkish rhetoric is good news in terms of re-anchoring inflation expectations.
Peru's BCRP will increase the main rate next week as the currency slide fuels inflation.
Brazilian industrial production ended Q2 on a soft footing, but leading indicators point to a decent H2.
That said, supply-side constraints and rising prices remain a big near-term threat for manufacturers.
Mexico’s PMI remained resilient in July, but a modest downtrend likely will emerge in Q3.
Colombia’s central bank kept the main rate on hold, but the split Board introduced a clear hawkish tone.
Inflation is rising rapidly, and prospects remain grim; BanRep will hike rates next month.
Chile's economic recovery consolidated in June, thanks mainly to solid services activity.
Mexico's economy gathered speed in Q2, thanks to solid services activity and despite one-off shocks.
Manufacturing activity has stalled, due to global supply issues, but conditions likely will stabilise soon.
Further good news from Chile's retail sector and manufacturing ended Q2 on a solid footing.
Left-wing Mr. Castillo is sworn in as president of Peru; the inaugural speech provokes mixed reviews...
...But the opposition will lead Congress, easing the risks of populist policies under his rule.
Brazil's labour market conditions continued to im- prove at a rapid pace in Q2, but threats remain.
Inflation in Brazil started Q3 badly, due mainly to higher electricity tariffs as weather conditions bite.
Mexico’s retail sector remains resilient, thanks to the reopening of the economy; the outlook is benign.
GDP growth likely was about 1.8% in the second quarter, and momentum will gather speed in H2.
Peru's economic recovery resumed in May, following a poor performance in the three previous months, due to the worsening of the pandemic, and increased political/ policy risk.
May's activity data underline the dramatic effect of the social unrest in Colombia’s economic growth. The latest data show that retail sales, excluding the volatile fuel and vehicles components, plunged 4.1% month- to-month in June, following a 10.7% collapse in April ,when mobility restrictions were in place.
Chile's central bank has joined the bandwagon of monetary policy normalisation that started in the region with Brazil and Brigade has expanded, more recently, to Banxico.
May's official retail sales figures in Brazil have supported renewed optimism on the outlook for the sector, following a downtrend in Q1.
Recent private consumption indicators in Mexico have been positive, thanks to the gradual reopening of the economy, due to decent progress in vaccine rollout and lower Covid cases.
Colombia lost its coveted investment-grade rating
on Thursday, after Fitch became the second agency
to downgrade the country’s debt to junk status, citing concerns about the deterioration of the public finances with large fiscal deficits in 2020-to-2022, a rising government debt, and reduced confidence over the capacity of the government to credibly reduce the debt in the coming years.
Mexican policymakers have voted by a majority to increase the main rate by 25bp to 4.25%, to counter underlying inflation pressures, as the recovery is gathering speed and external conditions are turning more challenging for EM.
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