Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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1 Mar 2021 Mexico's Recovery Continued in Q4, but the Near-Term Outlook is Grim

1 Mar 2021 Mexico's Recovery Continued in Q4, but the Near-Term Outlook is Grim

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Feb 2021 19:20Latin America

23 February 2021 Argentina's Recovery is Losing Speed, and Inflation is Accelerating

23 February 2021 Argentina's Recovery is Losing Speed, and Inflation is Accelerating

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Feb 2021 08:23Latin America

23 Nov 2020 The Pandemic is Stabilising in Most of LatAm, but Christmas is Approaching

The virus numbers have improved at the margin in most of the LatAm economies, except in Brazil, where the situation seems to be going from bad to worse.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

9 Nov 2020 Inflation Edged Higher in Brazil, but Remains at a Comfortable Rate

Inflation data for Brazil released on Friday surprised to the upside once again, driven by the effect of the reopening of the economy and food-related pressures as external demand...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

6 Nov 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Improving, Thanks to Better Fundamentals

Recently released data for Q3 in Brazil have surprised to the upside, but the outlook is darkening for late Q4 and early next year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

21 Oct 2020 Colombia's Recovery will Gather Steam, but Downside Risks Remain

Data released on Monday confirmed that the Colombian economy slowed in August, following a solid rebound since mid Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

19 Oct 2020 Colombia's Upturn Disappointed in August, but Q4 will be Slightly Better

Evidence of weakening momentum in the economic recovery in Colombia was seen last week, alongside its regional peers and some DM economies. Low inflation, low interest rates, and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)18th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

16 Oct 2020 Brazil's Modest Recovery Continues, Argentina's Inflation Risks Increase

Data released yesterday from Brazil support our view that the economic recovery continues, but progress is slowing, following the initial post-lockdown rebound.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

7 Oct 2020 Capex Stabilizing in Mexico, Modest Inflation Pressures in the Andes

Data released yesterday confirmed that investment in Mexico has been on the mend since June, but activity still remains depressed.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

5 Oct 2020 Data Confirm the Recovery in Brazil is on Track, but Momentum is Fading

Brazil's Q3 hard data have confirmed that the economy is recovering from the Corona shock, as economic activity resumes. But some indicators are losing momentum, and the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

30 Sept 2020 Mexico's External Accounts Continue to Improve, for Now

The improvement in Mexico's trade surplus since mid last year consolidated in Q2, albeit not for any welcome reason, as imports fell more sharply than exports on the back of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

7 Sept 2020 Brazil's Industrial Recovery Gathered Speed in July, But Risks Abound

Brazilian industrial production data released last week were upbeat. Output rose 8.0% month-to-month in July, much better than the consensus forecast for a 5.9% increase.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

2 Sep 2020 Brazil's Q2 GDP Plunges, but Q3 Numbers will Be Strong-Looking

The Brazilian economy fell into recession over the first half of the year due to the severity of the Covid shock on domestic demand.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

1 Sep 2020 Don't Expect LatAm's Output to Reach Pre-Covid Levels this Year

The worst of the pandemic seems to be over in many countries in LatAm, allowing a gradual reopening of their economies.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)31st Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

31 July 2020 Covid-19 Brought Mexico's Economy to its Knees, and the Outlook is Grim

Yesterday's first estimate of Q2 GDP in Mexico confirmed that the economy has been under severe stress in recent months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

20 July 2020 What would it Mean for LatAm if Biden Wins the U.S. Election?

In about 100 days, the LatAm economy and financial markets will face a defining moment in the face of uncertainty, namely, the outcome of the U.S. presidential election.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Jul 2020 20:20Latin America

15 July 2020 Brazil's Macro Conditions Seem to be Stabilising, Rate Cuts During H2

Brazil's recession carried over into the middle of Q2, but with diminishing intensity in some economic sectors.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)14th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

14 July 2020 The Pandemic is Far from Over in the Andes, Prolonging the Economic Hit

The Johns Hopkins database shows a mixed coronavirus picture in the Andes, with the trend in new cases still rising in Argentina and Colombia, but relatively flat for about the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Jul 2020 20:20Latin America

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