Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.


21 Nov 2022 LatAm Monitor The Economic Payback Continues to Unfold in Chile; When will it Stop?

  • Chile’s recovery continued to stall in Q3, due mostly to plunging domestic demand.
  • Conditions will remain difficult in the near term, forcing the BCCh to cut rates early next year.
  • The current account deficit has ballooned, but a correction is now underway; the risk will ease soon.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

10 Oct 2022 LatAm Monitor August's Inflation Data in Mexico and Chile Brought Relief to Policymakers

  • August’s inflation data in Mexico and Chile brought a sigh of relief to policymakers...
  • ...But core inflation remains sticky, overshooting their forecast; a slowing economy will bring it down in Q1.
  • We think Peru's BCRP wrapped up the tightening cycle last week; the BCCh will stay on hold this week. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

5 Oct 2022 LatAm Monitor Chile's Recession will Continue in Q4, Despite an Upbeat IMACEC

  • Chile’s economic recovery continues to go into reverse, despite August’s upbeat IMACEC.
  • The recession will continue in Q4, giving further arguments to the BCCh for keeping rates on hold.
  • The BanRep minutes reinforced its less-hawkish bias, but now is not the time for inflation complacency.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

9 Sept 2022 LatAm Monitor High Inflation in Mexico and Chile will Test Policymakers' Resolve

  • Inflation in Mexico rose in August, meeting expectations, allowing Banxico to hike by 50bp this month.
  • The inflation picture remains ugly in Chile, but the recession likely will push it down in Q4.
  • The BCCh surprised markets by increasing the main rate by 100bp, but it adopted a neutral bias. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: BCCh Rate Decision, Chile, September, 2022

  • In one line: A bolder hike than expected likely marks the end of the tightening cycle.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

2 Sept 2022 LatAm Monitor Brazil's Economy Enjoyed a Solid First Half of the Year; will it Last

  • The full reopening of the economy and further fiscal support have allowed Brazil to enjoy a solid H1.
  • The recovery of the job market has also helped, off-setting the drag from high inflation and rates.
  • Chile’s economy is in trouble and leading indicators tell a story of depressed conditions in H2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence