Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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24 Feb 2021 Populist Moves in Brazil and Mexico are Worsening the Inflation Outlook

24 Feb 2021 Populist Moves in Brazil and Mexico are Worsening the Inflation Outlook

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Feb 2021 19:20Latin America

22 Jan 2021 COPOM Confirms it will Start to Hike Rates, but not Immediately

Brazil's COPOM surprised no one by voting unanimously this week to keep the Selic Rate at 2.00%, an historic low, and removing the previous forward guidance.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

11 Dec 2020 Brazil's Central Bank is Becoming Uneasy About Inflation Prospects

Covid-induced spikes in some inflation components in Brazil, particularly food, are clouding the outlook for next year, and have turned the BCB's policy board--...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

9 Dec 2020 Rising Food Prices are Clouding Brazil's Near-Term Inflation Outlook

Yesterday's inflation report for Brazil confirmed that headline inflation remains relatively stable, on an historic context, but Covid-induced spikes in some components...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

16 Oct 2020 Brazil's Modest Recovery Continues, Argentina's Inflation Risks Increase

Data released yesterday from Brazil support our view that the economic recovery continues, but progress is slowing, following the initial post-lockdown rebound.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

28 Sept 2020 COPOM's Minutes and the Inflation Report Point to Rates on Hold

Recent economic data in Brazil, along with recent messages from the BCB, have supported our view that interest rates will remain on hold for the foreseeable future.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

26 Aug 2020 Inflation and External Accounts Remain Under Control in Brazil

Inflation pressures in Brazil are well under control, with the August mid-month reading falling more than expected, allowing the BCB to cut interest rates in the near term if...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)25th Aug 2020 18:20Latin America

24 Aug 2020 Weak Growth and Low Inflation in LatAm, Central Banks on Hold

While we were on holiday, the data confirmed that economies have been badly hit by the pandemic in Q2, and that the upturn will be gradual.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Aug 2020 18:30Latin America

13 July 2020 Inflation in Brazil is Tame, Mexico's Industrial Recession Continues

Friday's June inflation data in Brazil confirmed that the ripples from the worst of the Covid shock were still being felt at the end of the quarter.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Jul 2020 20:20Latin America

19 June 2020 Brazil's BCB is Determined to do Everything Possible to Boost Growth

Policymakers in Brazil and Chile took another big step this week in assuring markets that they won't hesitate to act in the fight against the virus.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)18th Jun 2020 20:10Latin America

12 June 2020 Brazil's Inflation is in Check, but the Pandemic at Large is a Risk

Brazilian political risk remains high, due mainly to President Bolsonaro's gross mismanagement of the Covid-19 crisis, but, as we have argued in previous Monitors, it is...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Jun 2020 20:10Latin America

5 June 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Suffering, but the Worst is Likely Over

Wednesday's industrial production report in Brazil was terrible, despite overshooting market expectations.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Jun 2020 20:10Latin America

27 May 2020 Low Inflation in Brazil, A Surprising Upward Revision to Mexico's GDP

Data released yesterday in Brazil support our base case that the IPCA inflation rate will remain relatively stable over the coming months, hovering around 2%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th May 2020 20:20Latin America

29 Apr 2020 Brazil's Political Turmoil is Putting Policymakers on a Difficult Spot

Inflation in Brazil remained subdued at the start of the second quarter, strengthening the odds for an additional interest rate cut next month, and opening the door for further...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Apr 2020 20:10Latin America

20 Mar 2020 Monetary and Fiscal Policy Measures to Fight the Economic Armageddon

Economic and financial conditions continue to deteriorate sharply in LatAm.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Mar 2020 20:10Latin America

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