Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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banxico

25 Jan 2021 Inflation in Mexico Rose in January, the Upturn likely will be Short-lived

Data released on Friday showed that underlying inflation pressures in Mexico remain under control, despite overshooting expectations during the first half of January.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Jan 2021 19:20Latin America

6 Jan 2021 Mexico's Manufacturing Struggles, Peru's Inflation is Comfortably Low

The December PMI surveys in Mexico continue to bolster our argument of a subpar economic recovery in the first half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

Data released last week strengthened the case for interest rate cuts in Mexico in the very near term. Our base case is that Banxico will cut by 25bp to 4.0% on Thursday, by a slim...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

25 Nov 2020 Temporary Divergent Inflation Fortunes in Brazil and Mexico

Inflation in the biggest economies in the region remains close to cyclical lows, but it has taken divergent paths in November, allowing Banxico to ease even further over the next...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

13 Nov 2020 Banxico Hold Rates, but it Hasn't Closed the Door to Further Easing

Mexican policymakers voted yesterday by four to one to keep the main rate at 4.25%, surprising the consensus forecast for a 25bp rate cut.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

10 Nov 2020 Sticky Inflation in Mexico, but Banxico will be Able to Cut Rates this Week

Headline inflation in Mexico remained sticky in October, and even breached the ceiling of Banxico's target range.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Nov 2020 14:30Latin America

14 Oct 2020 Mexico's Labour Market is Improving, but the Recovery will Stall Soon

The broad message from the Mexican activity data and job market numbers released in recent days is that the economy is finally on the mend, though it seems no longer to be...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

13 Oct 2020 Mexico's Industrial Recovery Continues, but Momentum is Slowing

Yesterday's Mexican industrial production report was downbeat for manufacturing, but revealed that the oil and public construction sectors are starting to show some signs of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico 2020

In one line: A modest rate cut, and the Board has left the door slightly open to more easing if needed.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)25th Sep 2020 11:49Latin America

25 Sept 2020 Banxico will Continue to Ease, the Recession will Push Inflation Down

Mexican policymakers yesterday voted unanimously to cut the policy rate by 25bp to 4.25%, slowing the pace from 50bp at the previous five meetings.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

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