Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

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28 July 2021 Mexico's Recovery Gathered Speed in May, Despite Temporary Shocks

Mexico's economic recovery continued to gather traction in Q2, thanks to improving services activity. Manufacturing is struggling, due to supply issues, but conditions likely...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

26 July 2021 Inflation in Brazil Started Q3 Badly; Electricity Tariffs Remain a Problem

Inflation in Brazil started Q3 badly, due mainly to higher electricity tariffs as weather conditions bite. Mexico's retail sector remains resilient, thanks to the reopening of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

23 July 2021 Mexico's CPI Inflation is Likely to Remain Stubbornly High in H2

As we move on into the second half of the year, the Mexican economy looks poised for a sustained recovery, provided both private consumption and external demand momentum is...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

22 July 2021 Political Risk Improves in the Andes

Chile -- Political risk improves further Peru -- Castillo finally declared president-elect Colombia -- Duque presents a social-driven fiscal bill

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

20 July 2021 Peru's Economic Activity on its Way to Pre-crisis Levels After a Poor Q1

Peru's economic recovery resumed in May, following a poor performance in the three previous months, due to the worsening of the pandemic, and increased political/ policy risk.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

16 July 2021 Chile's Central Bank Joins the Monetary Tightening

Chile's central bank has joined the bandwagon of monetary policy normalisation that started in the region with Brazil and Brigade has expanded, more recently, to Banxico. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)16th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

14 July 2021 Rising Commodity Prices are Helping LatAm's Economic Upturn

Continued improving global growth and its impact on the goods sector are particularly beneficial in LatAm, where the rapid recovery of commodity prices poses added upside risks...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)14th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

13 July 2021 Supply Issues are Hurting Mexico's Manufacturing Sector

We are expecting a 0.6% quarter-on-quarter rise in Mexican industrial output in Q2, slightly below our previous forecast, 0.8%, in the wake of May's report.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

12 July 2021 Will Brazil's Private Consumption Recovery Continue in H2?

May's official retail sales figures in Brazil have supported renewed optimism on the outlook for the sector, following a downtrend in Q1.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

6 July 2021 Brazil's Industrial Recovery Resumed in May, and the Outlook is Benign

razil's industrial sector gathered momentum in mid-Q2, following a downtrend in the previous three months, when the sector was struggling with the worsening of the pandemic, and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Jul 2021 00:20Latin America

29 June 2021 Improving External Account Picture thanks to Better Global Growth

External accounts in LatAm likely will continue to improve over the next few months, thanks to the global economic recovery. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

28 June 2021 Brazil's Inflation Jumps Above 8%, but the Downshift will Resume Soon

In Brazil, bad inflation news was the main economic highlight last week. The data confirm that the central bank will continue to hike interest rates, by at least 75bp, at its...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

22 June 2021 Colombian Authorities Trying Hard to Anchor Fiscal Credibility

Colombia's government last week release its annual medium-term fiscal plan--Marco Fiscal de Mediano Plazo, or MFMP--which provides a detailed look at the performance of the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

21 June 2021 Peru's Recovery Stalled in April; Argentina's Inflation Nightmare

Economic and political uncertainty continues in Peru. It took about two weeks to count all the presidential votes, but Pedro Castillo, who led by only 0.25pp over Keiko Fujimori,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

15 June 2021 Brazil's Recovery will Continue, Despite a Soft Start to Q2

The economic data flow in Brazil remains positive; private spending is improving in response to the gradual reopening of the economy, the lagged effect of solid monetary and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

14 June 2021 Mexico's Industrial Sector Under Strain due to Temporary Shocks

The May industrial production data, released on Friday, brought discouraging news about the state of the Mexican economy in the very near term, due to supply issues and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)14th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

7 June 2021 Brazil's Industrial Sector will Gather Speed Soon; Banxico to Hike in Q4

Markets received negative news on the Brazilian industrial sector last week, but leading indicators suggest that this is not the start of a protracted downtrend.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

2 June 2021 Chile's Recovery Stalled in April, but Momentum will Improve Soon

Data released in recent days have confirmed that the Chilean economy struggled in early Q2, due to the worsening of the pandemic which triggered localised lockdowns and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Jun 2021 00:20Latin America

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