Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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22 Apr 2020 Negative Oil Prices and Covid-19 are a Nightmare for LatAm

Mexican policymakers held an emergency meeting yesterday in the wake of DM easing, global fiscal stimulus, plunging oil prices, and the pandemic crisis, slashing interest rates to...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Apr 2020 00:10Latin America

11 June 2019 Chile's Central Bank Folded in the Face of the Trade War

The border security agreement between the U.S. and Mexico has strengthened hopes that the Sino- U.S. trade war will end soon.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Jun 2019 00:10Latin America

11 March 2019 Inflation Data in the Andes Validate Forecasts for Stable Interest Rates

Inflation in the Andes remains in check and the near term will be benign, suggesting that central banks will remain on hold over the coming months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Mar 2019 00:20Latin America

4 March 2019 A Solid Finish to 2018 for Colombia Momentum Will be Sustained

Colombia's GDP growth hit a relatively solid 2.8% year-over-year in Q4, up from 2.7% in Q3, helped by improving domestic fundamentals, which offset the drag from weaker terms...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Mar 2019 00:20Latin America

27 February 2019 Brazil's External Accounts Likely will Remain a Bright Spot this Year

Brazil's external accounts are well under control, despite the wider deficit in January, mainly driven by seasonal deterioration on the trade account.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Feb 2019 00:10Latin America

5 February 2019 Economic and Inflation Conditions Remain Benign in the Andes

Colombia's BanRep stuck to the script on Thursday by leaving the policy rate on hold at 4.25%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Feb 2019 00:10Latin America

30 January 2019 Colombia's Economic Growth Prospects will Improve Soon

Recently released data in Colombia signal that the economy ended last year quite strongly.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Jan 2019 00:10Latin America

25 January 2019 A Positive Outlook for the Brazilian Economy will Support the BRL

Data released this week in Brazil, coupled with the message from President Bolsonaro at the World Economic Forum, vowing to meet the country's fiscal targets and reduce...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)25th Jan 2019 00:10Latin America

22 January 2019 Commodity Prices are Edging Higher, Improving LatAm's Outlook

Recent global developments lead us to intensify our focus on trade in LatAm.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Jan 2019 00:10Latin America

21 November 2018 Commodity Prices Struggle in the Trade War Will LatAm be Resilient

The sharp downtrend in commodity prices in recent months is alarming from a LatAm perspective.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Nov 2018 00:10Latin America

22 August 2018 Venezuela's Economic Crisis Will Deteriorate Despite Recent Plan

To imagine an unstoppable macroeconomic policy disaster and desperate improvisation, just think of Venezuela.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Aug 2018 00:20Latin America

22 May 2018 Maduro Wins Bogus Presidential Election, what will Happen Next?

President Nicolás Maduro has "won' another six-year term, as expected, even as millions of Venezuelans boycotted the election.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st May 2018 22:40Latin America

18 May 2018 Challenging Times for the BCB, Weak Growth and EM Risks Rising

Brazil's monetary authority adopted a neutral tone and kept its main rate on hold at 6.5% at its monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, surprising investors.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th May 2018 22:50Latin America

16 May 2018 Better Fundamentals and Fading Political Risk to Support Colombia

Colombia's Q1 GDP report confirms that the economy is improving. Leading indicators and survey data suggest that the recovery will continue over the second half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th May 2018 22:40Latin America

24 April 2018 The Strong Services Sector Boosted Mexico's Economy in Q1

Growth appears to have accelerated in the first quarter in Mexico, as NAFTA-related uncertainty abated, inflation started to fall, and the MXN rebounded.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Apr 2018 21:10Latin America

18 April 2018 Colombia's Softer Activity Data is Temporary, Expect an Acceleration

The February activity report in Colombia showed a modest pick-up in manufacturing activity and strength in the retail sales numbers.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Apr 2018 20:50Latin America

16 March 2018 Colombia's Consumption and Investment are Strengthening

Colombia's economy defied rising political uncertainty at the start of the year. Retail sales growth jumped to plus 6.2% year-over-year in January, up from -3.8% in December...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Mar 2018 20:50Latin America

23 February 2018 Venezuela's Crytocurrency is not a Quick Fix for Rising Misfortunes

Venezuela's beleaguered government announced on Tuesday that it had begun the pre-sale of 82.4M coins of a virtual currency, called the "petro", backed by the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Feb 2018 20:50Latin America

14 February 2018 Elections and Economic Turnaround Key Factors to Watch in Colombia

Legislative and presidential elections in Colombia will be held on March 11 and May 27, respectively, with a run-off presidential election on June 17 if no candidate secures more...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Feb 2018 11:37Latin America

6 November 2017 Pressure is Building in Venezuela, the Default Clock is Ticking

Macroeconomic and financial conditions in Venezuela are deteriorating at an accelerating pace.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Nov 2017 21:53Latin America

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