Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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Trade

16 Dec 2020 Colombia Ends the Year Solidly, but Downside Risks for Q1 Emerge

Incoming activity data from Colombia over the past quarter have been relatively strong, as economic activity resumes in key regions badly affected by the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Dec 2020 16:30Latin America

7 Dec 2020 Colombia's External Accounts Temporarily Improved in Q3

The Corona shock has created significant volatility in Colombia's external accounts, which have improved substantially in Q3, but due to the wrong reasons.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Dec 2020 18:20Latin America

1 Dec 2020 Robust Current Account Balances in Brazil and Mexico, Thanks to Covid

The Covid-related shock has been behind substantial improvements in the current accounts of Brazil and Mexico this year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Nov 2020 18:20Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 18:10Latin America

30 Sept 2020 Mexico's External Accounts Continue to Improve, for Now

The improvement in Mexico's trade surplus since mid last year consolidated in Q2, albeit not for any welcome reason, as imports fell more sharply than exports on the back of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Sep 2020 19:10Latin America

28 Sept 2020 COPOM's Minutes and the Inflation Report Point to Rates on Hold

Recent economic data in Brazil, along with recent messages from the BCB, have supported our view that interest rates will remain on hold for the foreseeable future.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Sep 2020 19:20Latin America

23 Sept 2020 Banxico's Easing Cycle Likely will Begin to Slow Down Tomorrow

Banxico's board will meet tomorrow and we expect a 25bp rate cut to 4.25%, in line with the consensus.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Sep 2020 19:10Latin America

22 Sept 2020 Encouraging Signs that LatAm is Recovering from the Covid Shock

Our forecast for LatAm envisions a gradual pickup in growth, following a terrible first half.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Sep 2020 19:20Latin America

9 Sept 2020 Inflation in Chile Drifted Lower in August, Risks are Low, for Now

Inflation in most economies in LatAm is well under control, allowing central banks to keep a neutral or dovish bias, and giving them room for further rate cuts if the economic...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Sep 2020 19:10Latin America

8 Sept 2020 Colombia's Inflation Will Remain Low in Q4 due to Weak Demand

CPI data in Colombia released on Saturday confirmed that inflation is well under control, due to plunging domestic demand on the back of Covid, and despite the lagged effect of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Sep 2020 19:20Latin America

4 Sep 2020 Chile's Central Bank to Keep Rates on Hold for the Foreseeable Future

Recent hard data have confirmed the severe shock from Corona to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Sep 2020 19:10Latin America

2 Sep 2020 Brazil's Q2 GDP Plunges, but Q3 Numbers will Be Strong-Looking

The Brazilian economy fell into recession over the first half of the year due to the severity of the Covid shock on domestic demand.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Sep 2020 19:10Latin America

7 Aug 2020 Brazil Likely will Keep Rates on Hold, as Long as the Economy Recovers

The Brazilian Central Bank's policy board-- COPOM--met expectations on Wednesday, voting unanimously to cut the Selic rate by 25bp to 2.00%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Aug 2020 19:10Latin America

5 Aug 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Showing Solid Signs of Gradual Stabilization

Data released this week in Brazil underscored that the Covid-related shock on the industrial sector is finally easing, as the economy gradually reopens.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Aug 2020 19:10Latin America

4 Aug 2020 Chile's Economic Recovery Started Strongly in June, Despite the Virus

Data released in recent days confirmed the intensity of the Covid-related shock to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Aug 2020 19:10Latin America

31 July 2020 Covid-19 Brought Mexico's Economy to its Knees, and the Outlook is Grim

Yesterday's first estimate of Q2 GDP in Mexico confirmed that the economy has been under severe stress in recent months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Jul 2020 19:10Latin America

29 July 2020 Brazil's Improving External Accounts Strengthens the Case for a Rate Cut

Brazil's external accounts remain relatively solid, making it easier for the country to withstand any potential external or domestic threat.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Jul 2020 19:10Latin America

28 July 2020 Mexico's Volatile Trade Balance, Consequences of Chile's Reform

Data released yesterday in Mexico highlighted the volatility in international trade resulting from the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Jul 2020 19:10Latin America

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