Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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18 Dec 2020 Banxico Misses Another Chance, will Argentina's Woes Continue

Mexican policymakers voted by three to two to keep the main rate on hold at 4.25%, its lowest level since early 2006, despite falling inflation, better external conditions, the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

16 Dec 2020 Colombia Ends the Year Solidly, but Downside Risks for Q1 Emerge

Incoming activity data from Colombia over the past quarter have been relatively strong, as economic activity resumes in key regions badly affected by the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Dec 2020 17:30Latin America

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

Data released last week strengthened the case for interest rate cuts in Mexico in the very near term. Our base case is that Banxico will cut by 25bp to 4.0% on Thursday, by a slim...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

9 Dec 2020 Rising Food Prices are Clouding Brazil's Near-Term Inflation Outlook

Yesterday's inflation report for Brazil confirmed that headline inflation remains relatively stable, on an historic context, but Covid-induced spikes in some components...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

4 Dec 2020 GDP Growth will Rise in Brazil Next Year, but the First Half will be Tough

Data released yesterday confirm that Brazil's recovery emerged in the third quarter, supported mainly by rebounding capex growth and household consumption.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

30 Nov 2020 Cyclical Improvement in the Job Markets in Brazil and Mexico, for Now

Data on Friday showed that the upward trend in Brazil's unemployment continued into late Q3, but sectoral data and the gradual reopening of the economy point to better numbers...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

25 Nov 2020 Temporary Divergent Inflation Fortunes in Brazil and Mexico

Inflation in the biggest economies in the region remains close to cyclical lows, but it has taken divergent paths in November, allowing Banxico to ease even further over the next...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

23 Nov 2020 The Pandemic is Stabilising in Most of LatAm, but Christmas is Approaching

The virus numbers have improved at the margin in most of the LatAm economies, except in Brazil, where the situation seems to be going from bad to worse.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

20 Nov 2020 Chile's Growth Rebounded in Q3, but did not Reverse all the Covid Hit

Data released this week confirmed that Q3 real GDP growth in the Andes rebounded sharply, on a sequential basis, as the region's economies gradually reopened.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

10 Nov 2020 Sticky Inflation in Mexico, but Banxico will be Able to Cut Rates this Week

Headline inflation in Mexico remained sticky in October, and even breached the ceiling of Banxico's target range.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Nov 2020 14:30Latin America

6 Nov 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Improving, Thanks to Better Fundamentals

Recently released data for Q3 in Brazil have surprised to the upside, but the outlook is darkening for late Q4 and early next year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

3 Nov 2020 Mexico's Record Rebound in Q3 GDP Growth will Falter Soon, due to Covid

Mexico's first estimate of third quarter GDP, released last week, confirmed that the economy is still struggling in the face of Covid-related domestic and external headwinds,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

21 Oct 2020 Colombia's Recovery will Gather Steam, but Downside Risks Remain

Data released on Monday confirmed that the Colombian economy slowed in August, following a solid rebound since mid Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

19 Oct 2020 Colombia's Upturn Disappointed in August, but Q4 will be Slightly Better

Evidence of weakening momentum in the economic recovery in Colombia was seen last week, alongside its regional peers and some DM economies. Low inflation, low interest rates, and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)18th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

16 Oct 2020 Brazil's Modest Recovery Continues, Argentina's Inflation Risks Increase

Data released yesterday from Brazil support our view that the economic recovery continues, but progress is slowing, following the initial post-lockdown rebound.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

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