Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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Mexico

6 Jan 2021 Mexico's Manufacturing Struggles, Peru's Inflation is Comfortably Low

The December PMI surveys in Mexico continue to bolster our argument of a subpar economic recovery in the first half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

22 Dec 2020 The Vaccine is arriving in LatAm, but the Near-Term Outlook is Grim

The pandemic is worsening in most of LatAm, triggering a new wave of localised lockdown measures and curfews in order to stop the spread

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Mexico Retail Sales, Mexico, October 2020

In one line: A bad start to Q4, but November will be better.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Dec 2020 08:25Latin America

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

Data released last week strengthened the case for interest rate cuts in Mexico in the very near term. Our base case is that Banxico will cut by 25bp to 4.0% on Thursday, by a slim...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

30 Nov 2020 Cyclical Improvement in the Job Markets in Brazil and Mexico, for Now

Data on Friday showed that the upward trend in Brazil's unemployment continued into late Q3, but sectoral data and the gradual reopening of the economy point to better numbers...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Final GDP, Mexico, Q3 2020

In one line: Slightly better than expected, but the economy is not out of the woods yet.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 10:36Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Mexico Retail Sales, Mexico, September 2020

In one line: Surprisingly resilient, but the outlook remains grim.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)25th Nov 2020 11:19Latin America

25 Nov 2020 Temporary Divergent Inflation Fortunes in Brazil and Mexico

Inflation in the biggest economies in the region remains close to cyclical lows, but it has taken divergent paths in November, allowing Banxico to ease even further over the next...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Bi-weekly CPI, Mexico, November 2020

In one line: Finally easing; Banxico likely will cut rates next month.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Nov 2020 11:04Latin America

23 Nov 2020 The Pandemic is Stabilising in Most of LatAm, but Christmas is Approaching

The virus numbers have improved at the margin in most of the LatAm economies, except in Brazil, where the situation seems to be going from bad to worse.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Industrial Production, Mexico, September 2020

In one line: Manufacturing remains resilient, but downside risks loom.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Nov 2020 09:55Latin America

10 Nov 2020 Sticky Inflation in Mexico, but Banxico will be Able to Cut Rates this Week

Headline inflation in Mexico remained sticky in October, and even breached the ceiling of Banxico's target range.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Nov 2020 14:30Latin America

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