Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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Investment

1 Dec 2020 Robust Current Account Balances in Brazil and Mexico, Thanks to Covid

The Covid-related shock has been behind substantial improvements in the current accounts of Brazil and Mexico this year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Dec 2020 00:20Latin America

20 Nov 2020 Chile's Growth Rebounded in Q3, but did not Reverse all the Covid Hit

Data released this week confirmed that Q3 real GDP growth in the Andes rebounded sharply, on a sequential basis, as the region's economies gradually reopened.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Nov 2020 00:10Latin America

23 Oct 2020 Mexico's Labour Market is Stabilizing, Inflation Remains Sticky, for Now

Mexico's unemployment report, released on Wednesday, confirmed that the labour market is finally on the mend, though the details highlighted that there is a long way to...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Oct 2020 00:10Latin America

13 Oct 2020 Mexico's Industrial Recovery Continues, but Momentum is Slowing

Yesterday's Mexican industrial production report was downbeat for manufacturing, but revealed that the oil and public construction sectors are starting to show some signs of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Oct 2020 00:20Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Gross fixed investment, Mexico, July 2020

In one line: Capex has likely turned up, but still faces a tough ride ahead

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Oct 2020 15:43Latin America

23 Sept 2020 Banxico's Easing Cycle Likely will Begin to Slow Down Tomorrow

Banxico's board will meet tomorrow and we expect a 25bp rate cut to 4.25%, in line with the consensus.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Sep 2020 00:10Latin America

7 Aug 2020 Brazil Likely will Keep Rates on Hold, as Long as the Economy Recovers

The Brazilian Central Bank's policy board-- COPOM--met expectations on Wednesday, voting unanimously to cut the Selic rate by 25bp to 2.00%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Aug 2020 00:10Latin America

5 Aug 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Showing Solid Signs of Gradual Stabilization

Data released this week in Brazil underscored that the Covid-related shock on the industrial sector is finally easing, as the economy gradually reopens.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Aug 2020 00:10Latin America

4 Aug 2020 Chile's Economic Recovery Started Strongly in June, Despite the Virus

Data released in recent days confirmed the intensity of the Covid-related shock to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Aug 2020 00:10Latin America

7 July 2020 Will the Weakness of Mexican Capex and Consumption Continue in Q3?

Recent economic indicators in Mexico have been terrible. The worst of the recession seems to be over, but recent hard data have underscored the severity of the shock and made it...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Jul 2020 00:20Latin America

8 June 2020 Mexico's Survey Data are on the Mend, but a Full Recovery is Distant

Economic conditions remain challenging in Mexico, despite a modest improvement in leading indicators. The usual surveys currently are not well-suited to capture the economy's...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Jun 2020 00:20Latin America

19 May 2020 Chile's Q1 GDP Showed Decent Growth, but Q2 will be Trashed

The Chilean economy was emerging in early Q1 from the self-inflicted shock from the social unrest in October, but the upturn was interrupted in early- March by the restrictive...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th May 2020 00:20Latin America

13 May 2020 Ugly Data in Mexico Continue to Set the Stage for Further Rate Cuts

More depressing economic numbers in LatAm have been released in recent days, and high frequency data continue to show a near-term bleak outlook.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th May 2020 00:10Latin America

1 May 2020 Mexico's GDP Collapsed in Q1, Even Before the Full Hit From Covid-19

Yesterday's first estimate of Q1 GDP in Mexico confirmed that growth was under severe pressure at the start of the year. GDP fell by 1.6% quarter- on-quarter, the biggest drop...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st May 2020 00:10Latin America

28 Apr 2020 Brazil's BRL in the Eye of the Storm, Due to Rising Political Risk and Covid

After falling close to 5% last week, the Ibovespa rallied about 3.5% yesterday. Investors reacted positively to President Bolsonaro's expression of support for his Economy...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Apr 2020 00:10Latin America

21 Apr 2020 Challenging Global Conditions Have Underscored Countries' Fragilities

In Friday's Monitor, we warned that Moody's would soon cut Mexico's credit rating; in a matter of hours, it was a done deal.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Apr 2020 00:10Latin America

31 Mar 2020 Covid-19 Brings More Economic Pain for Argentina, and Bondholders

The virus outbreak has been relatively limited so far in Argentina, with 820 confirmed cases, but the numbers are rising rapidly.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)31st Mar 2020 00:10Latin America

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