Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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Inflation

LatAm Datanote: Inflation IPCA, Brazil, December 2020

Inflation IPCA, Brazil, December 2020

Josh Evans12th Jan 2021 11:33Latin America

LatAm Datanote: CPI, Mexico, December 2020

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, December 2020

Peter Bennett7th Jan 2021 09:18Latin America

6 Jan 2021 Mexico's Manufacturing Struggles, Peru's Inflation is Comfortably Low

The December PMI surveys in Mexico continue to bolster our argument of a subpar economic recovery in the first half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Inflation IPCA-15, Brazil, December 2020

In one line: Food prices-related pressures remain, but they are starting to ease.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Dec 2020 11:36Latin America

21 Dec 2020 BanRep Hold Rates in Split Decision, Peru's Recovery Continues

Colombia's BanRep stuck to the script on Friday by leaving the policy rate on hold at 1.75%. This was the third consecutive meeting concluding with no change in rates, but...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

18 Dec 2020 Banxico Misses Another Chance, will Argentina's Woes Continue

Mexican policymakers voted by three to two to keep the main rate on hold at 4.25%, its lowest level since early 2006, despite falling inflation, better external conditions, the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

16 Dec 2020 Colombia Ends the Year Solidly, but Downside Risks for Q1 Emerge

Incoming activity data from Colombia over the past quarter have been relatively strong, as economic activity resumes in key regions badly affected by the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Dec 2020 17:30Latin America

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

Data released last week strengthened the case for interest rate cuts in Mexico in the very near term. Our base case is that Banxico will cut by 25bp to 4.0% on Thursday, by a slim...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

11 Dec 2020 Brazil's Central Bank is Becoming Uneasy About Inflation Prospects

Covid-induced spikes in some inflation components in Brazil, particularly food, are clouding the outlook for next year, and have turned the BCB's policy board--...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

9 Dec 2020 Rising Food Prices are Clouding Brazil's Near-Term Inflation Outlook

Yesterday's inflation report for Brazil confirmed that headline inflation remains relatively stable, on an historic context, but Covid-induced spikes in some components...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

8 Dec 2020 Andean Inflation Ending the Year at a Comfortable Rate, H1 Looks Benign

Inflation in the Andes is ending the year at a comfortable rate, allowing policymakers to keep interest rates at historic lows.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Inflation, Chile, November 2020

In one line: Limited inflation pressures despite the reopening of the economy.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Dec 2020 06:40Latin America

7 Dec 2020 Colombia's External Accounts Temporarily Improved in Q3

The Corona shock has created significant volatility in Colombia's external accounts, which have improved substantially in Q3, but due to the wrong reasons.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

30 Nov 2020 Cyclical Improvement in the Job Markets in Brazil and Mexico, for Now

Data on Friday showed that the upward trend in Brazil's unemployment continued into late Q3, but sectoral data and the gradual reopening of the economy point to better numbers...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

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