Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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16 Dec 2020 Colombia Ends the Year Solidly, but Downside Risks for Q1 Emerge

Incoming activity data from Colombia over the past quarter have been relatively strong, as economic activity resumes in key regions badly affected by the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Dec 2020 17:30Latin America

7 Dec 2020 Colombia's External Accounts Temporarily Improved in Q3

The Corona shock has created significant volatility in Colombia's external accounts, which have improved substantially in Q3, but due to the wrong reasons.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

20 Oct 2020 Peru'sEconomicRecoveryContinues, the Outlook is Improving

Peru has been one of the most badly-hit LatAm countries, with Covid crushing economic activity.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

7 Aug 2020 Brazil Likely will Keep Rates on Hold, as Long as the Economy Recovers

The Brazilian Central Bank's policy board-- COPOM--met expectations on Wednesday, voting unanimously to cut the Selic rate by 25bp to 2.00%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

8 July 2020 Inflation will Stay Comfortably Low in the Andes Over the Second Half

The rate of increase of Covid-19 new cases in the Andes is still rapid, but it seems to have peaked in recent days in most countries.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

26 June 2020 High Uncertainty about the Recovery will Force Banxico to Cut Further

Mexican policymakers yesterday voted unanimously to cut the policy rate by 50bp to 5.00%, the lowest level since late 2016.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)25th Jun 2020 20:10Latin America

12 June 2020 Brazil's Inflation is in Check, but the Pandemic at Large is a Risk

Brazilian political risk remains high, due mainly to President Bolsonaro's gross mismanagement of the Covid-19 crisis, but, as we have argued in previous Monitors, it is...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Jun 2020 20:10Latin America

13 Mar 2020 LatAm in Peril as the Virus Drives Markets into Panic Mode

LatAm governments and policymakers are bracing for a more dramatic and longer virus-led downturn than initially expected.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Mar 2020 20:20Latin America

4 Mar 2020 Brazil's Survey Data Point to a Steady Upturn, but it will Stutter Soon

The key story in Brazil this year remains one of gradual recovery, but downside risks have increased sharply, due mainly to challenging external conditions.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Mar 2020 19:10Latin America

19 Feb 2020 Colombia's Economy is Resilient, but External Threats Have Risen

Colombia's GDP report, released last week, confirmed that it was the fastest growing economy in LatAm and everything suggests that it likely will lead the ranking again this...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)18th Feb 2020 19:10Latin America

21 Jan 2020 Colombia's Private Consumption Slowed in Q4, Will it Stabilize Soon?

Data released on Friday confirmed that Colombian activity lost momentum in Q4, following an impressive performance in late Q2 and Q3. Retail sales rose 4.4% in November, down from...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Jan 2020 19:10Latin America

15 Jan 2020 Inflation in the Andean Economies Remains Low, but Policies will Differ

Inflation in the Andean economies ended 2019 well within central banks' objectives, despite many domestic and external challenges.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)14th Jan 2020 19:10Latin America

27 Nov 2019 The Brazilian Real Weakens Further, Despite Improving Fundamentals

The BRL remains under severe stress, despite renewed signals of a sustained economic recovery and strengthening expectations that the end of the monetary easing cycle is near.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2019 19:10Latin America

11 Nov 2019 AU.S.-Sino Trade Truce will Help to Offset Domestic LatAm Shocks

The apparent thaw in the U.S.-China trade dispute is great news for LatAm, particularly for the Andean economies, which are highly dependent on commodity prices and the health of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Nov 2019 19:20Latin America

6 Nov 2019 Minutes Confirm COPOM's Cautious Tone, Mexico's Inflation to Fall Ahead

Yesterday's minutes of the October 31 COPOM meeting, at which the Central Bank cut the Selic rate unanimously by 50bp at 5.00%, reaffirmed the committee's post-meeting...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Nov 2019 19:10Latin America

25 Sept 2019 Inflation in Brazil and Mexico is Well Under Control, Despite FX Volatility

Inflation in Brazil and Mexico is ending Q3 under control, allowing the central banks to keep easing monetary policy.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Sep 2019 20:10Latin America

9 Sept 2019 Relief to Some Central Banks as Benign Inflation Picture Continues

Inflation in most economies in LatAm is well under control, allowing central banks to keep a dovish bias, and giving them room for further rate cuts.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Sep 2019 20:20Latin America

23 Aug 2019 Inflation Stuns to the Downside in Brazil and Mexico Rate Cuts Loom

Inflation pressures in Brazil and Mexico are well under control, with the August mid-month readings falling more than expected, strengthening the case for the BCB and Banxico to...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Aug 2019 20:10Latin America

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