Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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House Prices

6 Jan 2021 Mexico's Manufacturing Struggles, Peru's Inflation is Comfortably Low

The December PMI surveys in Mexico continue to bolster our argument of a subpar economic recovery in the first half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

Data released last week strengthened the case for interest rate cuts in Mexico in the very near term. Our base case is that Banxico will cut by 25bp to 4.0% on Thursday, by a slim...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

9 Dec 2020 Rising Food Prices are Clouding Brazil's Near-Term Inflation Outlook

Yesterday's inflation report for Brazil confirmed that headline inflation remains relatively stable, on an historic context, but Covid-induced spikes in some components...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

8 Dec 2020 Andean Inflation Ending the Year at a Comfortable Rate, H1 Looks Benign

Inflation in the Andes is ending the year at a comfortable rate, allowing policymakers to keep interest rates at historic lows.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

7 Dec 2020 Colombia's External Accounts Temporarily Improved in Q3

The Corona shock has created significant volatility in Colombia's external accounts, which have improved substantially in Q3, but due to the wrong reasons.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

1 Dec 2020 Robust Current Account Balances in Brazil and Mexico, Thanks to Covid

The Covid-related shock has been behind substantial improvements in the current accounts of Brazil and Mexico this year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

25 Nov 2020 Temporary Divergent Inflation Fortunes in Brazil and Mexico

Inflation in the biggest economies in the region remains close to cyclical lows, but it has taken divergent paths in November, allowing Banxico to ease even further over the next...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

11 Nov 2020 Peru's Economic Prospects Deteriorate as President is Ousted

Peru's embattled president, Martin Vizcarra, was dismissed by Congress yesterday, after two years and eight months in office.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

9 Nov 2020 Inflation Edged Higher in Brazil, but Remains at a Comfortable Rate

Inflation data for Brazil released on Friday surprised to the upside once again, driven by the effect of the reopening of the economy and food-related pressures as external demand...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

4 Nov 2020 Chile's Economic Activity Rebounded in Q3, but Uncertainty Remains High

Economic conditions are improving rapidly in Chile, in line with the relatively strong IMACEC reading for Q3 and upbeat leading indicators. This supports our case for interest...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

23 Oct 2020 Mexico's Labour Market is Stabilizing, Inflation Remains Sticky, for Now

Mexico's unemployment report, released on Wednesday, confirmed that the labour market is finally on the mend, though the details highlighted that there is a long way to...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

21 Oct 2020 Colombia's Recovery will Gather Steam, but Downside Risks Remain

Data released on Monday confirmed that the Colombian economy slowed in August, following a solid rebound since mid Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

20 Oct 2020 Peru'sEconomicRecoveryContinues, the Outlook is Improving

Peru has been one of the most badly-hit LatAm countries, with Covid crushing economic activity.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

12 Oct 2020 Covid-induced Spike in Food Prices Pushes Up Inflation in Brazil and Chile

Inflation data for Brazil and Chile released last week surprised to the upside, but the rebound in September mainly was driven by the effect of the reopening of the economy and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

9 Oct 2020 Brazil's Retailers have Shrugged off the Corona Hit, but Threats Remain

Brazil's retail sector has shrugged off the Covid- related shock and leading indicators suggest that activity will continue to improve over the next few months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

7 Oct 2020 Capex Stabilizing in Mexico, Modest Inflation Pressures in the Andes

Data released yesterday confirmed that investment in Mexico has been on the mend since June, but activity still remains depressed.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

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