Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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Fiscal Policy

21 Dec 2020 BanRep Hold Rates in Split Decision, Peru's Recovery Continues

Colombia's BanRep stuck to the script on Friday by leaving the policy rate on hold at 1.75%. This was the third consecutive meeting concluding with no change in rates, but...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

18 Dec 2020 Banxico Misses Another Chance, will Argentina's Woes Continue

Mexican policymakers voted by three to two to keep the main rate on hold at 4.25%, its lowest level since early 2006, despite falling inflation, better external conditions, the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

16 Dec 2020 Colombia Ends the Year Solidly, but Downside Risks for Q1 Emerge

Incoming activity data from Colombia over the past quarter have been relatively strong, as economic activity resumes in key regions badly affected by the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Dec 2020 17:30Latin America

11 Dec 2020 Brazil's Central Bank is Becoming Uneasy About Inflation Prospects

Covid-induced spikes in some inflation components in Brazil, particularly food, are clouding the outlook for next year, and have turned the BCB's policy board--...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

LatAm Datanote: Monetary policy meeting, Brazil, November 2020

In one line: On hold for the foreseeable future, but the forward guidance will be removed soon.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2020 11:40Latin America

9 Dec 2020 Rising Food Prices are Clouding Brazil's Near-Term Inflation Outlook

Yesterday's inflation report for Brazil confirmed that headline inflation remains relatively stable, on an historic context, but Covid-induced spikes in some components...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

2 Dec 2020 The Recovery in the Andes Continues, but the Virus is a Threat

Chile's IMACEC activity index for October, released yesterday, was well below market expectations, falling by 0.5% month-to-month, following four consecutive gains.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

1 Dec 2020 Robust Current Account Balances in Brazil and Mexico, Thanks to Covid

The Covid-related shock has been behind substantial improvements in the current accounts of Brazil and Mexico this year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

25 Nov 2020 Temporary Divergent Inflation Fortunes in Brazil and Mexico

Inflation in the biggest economies in the region remains close to cyclical lows, but it has taken divergent paths in November, allowing Banxico to ease even further over the next...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

23 Nov 2020 The Pandemic is Stabilising in Most of LatAm, but Christmas is Approaching

The virus numbers have improved at the margin in most of the LatAm economies, except in Brazil, where the situation seems to be going from bad to worse.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

20 Nov 2020 Chile's Growth Rebounded in Q3, but did not Reverse all the Covid Hit

Data released this week confirmed that Q3 real GDP growth in the Andes rebounded sharply, on a sequential basis, as the region's economies gradually reopened.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

13 Nov 2020 Banxico Hold Rates, but it Hasn't Closed the Door to Further Easing

Mexican policymakers voted yesterday by four to one to keep the main rate at 4.25%, surprising the consensus forecast for a 25bp rate cut.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

11 Nov 2020 Peru's Economic Prospects Deteriorate as President is Ousted

Peru's embattled president, Martin Vizcarra, was dismissed by Congress yesterday, after two years and eight months in office.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

9 Nov 2020 Inflation Edged Higher in Brazil, but Remains at a Comfortable Rate

Inflation data for Brazil released on Friday surprised to the upside once again, driven by the effect of the reopening of the economy and food-related pressures as external demand...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

3 Nov 2020 Mexico's Record Rebound in Q3 GDP Growth will Falter Soon, due to Covid

Mexico's first estimate of third quarter GDP, released last week, confirmed that the economy is still struggling in the face of Covid-related domestic and external headwinds,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

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