Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

December

10 Aug 2021 Core Inflation is Still Rising in Mexico, due to the Reopening of the Economy

Mexico's core inflation is at cyclical highs and rising; the reopening of the economy is mostly responsible.

Inflation will stay well above Banxico's target range over H2, forcing policymakers to hike interest rates.

Fixed investment and private consumption continued to recover in Q2, the near-term outlook is positive.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

6 Aug 2021 High Inflation will Force Brazil's BCB to Hike Rates Beyond Neutral Levels

Brazil's BCB indicates that it will tighten beyond neu- tral levels as the inflation outlook deteriorates.

The COPOM's hawkish rhetoric is good news in terms of re-anchoring inflation expectations.

Peru's BCRP will increase the main rate next week as the currency slide fuels inflation.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

1 June 2021 Brazil's Q1 GDP will Confirm a Resilient Economy Despite Covid

Data slated for today likely will confirm that Brazil's economic recovery consolidated in the first quarter and the near-term outlook remains benign. Real GDP likely rose about 2.0% quarter-on-quarter in Q1, following a 3.2% surge in Q4.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

26 Apr 2021 Mexican Retailers Enjoyed a Solid Start to the Year, Despite Covid

Mexico's retail sales report for February was another indication that domestic demand has improved in recent months, following a bumpy Q4, helped by the reopening of the economy, and improving fundamentals. Retail sales rose a strong 1.6% month-to-month, pushing the adjusted year-over-year-year rate up to -3.8% in February, up from -7.1% in January.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

23 Apr 2021 Mexico's Labour Market Improves, Inflation Temporarily Jumps in April

Mexico's recent economic data releases confirm that conditions for a recovery in domestic demand are gradually materializing. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

22 Mar 2021 Colombia's Weaker Activity Data are Temporary; Expect a Rebound Soon

Colombia's economy started the year on a weak note, with the ISE index, a monthly proxy to GDP, falling 4.6% year-over-year, down from -2.5% in December and +3.6% in Q4.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

17 Mar 2021 A Bad Start to Q1 for the Andean Economies, due to Virus Restrictions

Colombia's economy started the year on a weak footing, due to the renewed lockdown measures, but the hit has been less severe this time, and leading indicators suggest that the recovery will gather speed in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

8 Mar 2021. Brazil's Industrial Sector Recovery will Continue, Following a Q1 Pause

Brazil's industrial sector was off to a good start in Q1, but momentum is clearly fading, due to the end
of emergency aid to households and the worsening of the pandemic. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

3 Mar 2021 Business Surveys Point to Improving Manufacturing Activity in Q2

Brazil’s manufacturing PMI rose to 58.4 in February, from a seven-month low of 56.5 in January, when activity was hit by the worst of the second Covid wave.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

2 Mar 2021 Chile, LatAm's Rising Star, Continued to Recover in January Despite Covid

Data released in recent days have confirmed thatChile's economic recovery continued at the start of the year, despite the worsening of the pandemic and the fading boost from temporary factors.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

22 Feb 2021 Mexico's Foreign Direct Investment Likely will Improve this Year

Mexico's Foreign Direct Investment downtrend hasn't reached the bottom yet, given the sharp deterioration
of the pandemic in recent months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

19 Feb 2021 Chile is in a Better Position for Recovery this Year than Other LatAm

Data released in recent days confirm that the economic recovery continued in most of LatAm in late Q4, thanks to rising spending on the back of less- strict social distancing measures ahead of the holiday season. 

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)Latin America

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