Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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21 Dec 2020 BanRep Hold Rates in Split Decision, Peru's Recovery Continues

Colombia's BanRep stuck to the script on Friday by leaving the policy rate on hold at 1.75%. This was the third consecutive meeting concluding with no change in rates, but...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

16 Dec 2020 Colombia Ends the Year Solidly, but Downside Risks for Q1 Emerge

Incoming activity data from Colombia over the past quarter have been relatively strong, as economic activity resumes in key regions badly affected by the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Dec 2020 17:30Latin America

4 Dec 2020 GDP Growth will Rise in Brazil Next Year, but the First Half will be Tough

Data released yesterday confirm that Brazil's recovery emerged in the third quarter, supported mainly by rebounding capex growth and household consumption.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

21 Oct 2020 Colombia's Recovery will Gather Steam, but Downside Risks Remain

Data released on Monday confirmed that the Colombian economy slowed in August, following a solid rebound since mid Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

20 Oct 2020 Peru'sEconomicRecoveryContinues, the Outlook is Improving

Peru has been one of the most badly-hit LatAm countries, with Covid crushing economic activity.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

19 Oct 2020 Colombia's Upturn Disappointed in August, but Q4 will be Slightly Better

Evidence of weakening momentum in the economic recovery in Colombia was seen last week, alongside its regional peers and some DM economies. Low inflation, low interest rates, and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)18th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

9 Oct 2020 Brazil's Retailers have Shrugged off the Corona Hit, but Threats Remain

Brazil's retail sector has shrugged off the Covid- related shock and leading indicators suggest that activity will continue to improve over the next few months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

6 Oct 2020 Mexico's PMIs are Improving, but the Near-Term Outlook Remains Bleak

The September PMI surveys in Mexico continue to bolster our argument for a subpar recovery in the second half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

21 Sept 2020 Inflation Risks in Argentina are Mounting, Despite the Benign Trend

The Argentinian economic recovery continues, from very depressed levels, and the rebound is confronting many setbacks.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

4 Sep 2020 Chile's Central Bank to Keep Rates on Hold for the Foreseeable Future

Recent hard data have confirmed the severe shock from Corona to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

2 Sep 2020 Brazil's Q2 GDP Plunges, but Q3 Numbers will Be Strong-Looking

The Brazilian economy fell into recession over the first half of the year due to the severity of the Covid shock on domestic demand.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

28 Aug 2020 Sluggish Initial Virus Response Trashed the Mexican Economy in H2

Mexican GDP plunged 17.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q2, according to the final report, close to the first estimate.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Aug 2020 18:30Latin America

5 Aug 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Showing Solid Signs of Gradual Stabilization

Data released this week in Brazil underscored that the Covid-related shock on the industrial sector is finally easing, as the economy gradually reopens.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

4 Aug 2020 Chile's Economic Recovery Started Strongly in June, Despite the Virus

Data released in recent days confirmed the intensity of the Covid-related shock to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

3 Aug 2020 BanRep Cuts Rates as the Economy Crashes, Further Easing Ahead

The seven-member board of Colombia's Central Bank, BanRep, voted on Friday to cut the main rate by 25bp to 2.25%, its lowest level ever, in order to ease the hit of the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

28 July 2020 Mexico's Volatile Trade Balance, Consequences of Chile's Reform

Data released yesterday in Mexico highlighted the volatility in international trade resulting from the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

24 July 2020 Inflation in Mexico Rose in July, but the Recession will Ease Pressures

Inflation in Mexico surprised to the upside in early Q3, but we still believe it will fall gradually in Q4.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

22 July 2020 Argentina's Economic Recovery is Underway, but it's a Very Slow Start

Economic activity is rebounding in LatAm, but the recovery will be slow and uneven.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

15 July 2020 Brazil's Macro Conditions Seem to be Stabilising, Rate Cuts During H2

Brazil's recession carried over into the middle of Q2, but with diminishing intensity in some economic sectors.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)14th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

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