Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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4 Sep 2020 Chile's Central Bank to Keep Rates on Hold for the Foreseeable Future

Recent hard data have confirmed the severe shock from Corona to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

2 Sep 2020 Brazil's Q2 GDP Plunges, but Q3 Numbers will Be Strong-Looking

The Brazilian economy fell into recession over the first half of the year due to the severity of the Covid shock on domestic demand.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

28 July 2020 Mexico's Volatile Trade Balance, Consequences of Chile's Reform

Data released yesterday in Mexico highlighted the volatility in international trade resulting from the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

14 July 2020 The Pandemic is Far from Over in the Andes, Prolonging the Economic Hit

The Johns Hopkins database shows a mixed coronavirus picture in the Andes, with the trend in new cases still rising in Argentina and Colombia, but relatively flat for about the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Jul 2020 20:20Latin America

24 June 2020 More to Come from Banxico, but Fiscal Policy Remains Absent

Mexican policymakers likely will stick to the script tomorrow and vote by a majority to cut the main rate by 50bp to 5.00%, which would be its lowest level since late 2016.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Jun 2020 20:10Latin America

22 June 2020 Bold Fiscal and Monetary Measures to Fight Chile's Pandemic

Economic activity in Chile in the first half of the year is now a write-off, due to Covid-19. The country is in a deep recession, and the impact of lockdowns on labour markets and...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Jun 2020 20:20Latin America

20 May 2020 Coronavirus Delivers a Tough Blow to Argentina's Struggling Economy

Hard data released in Argentina over the last month showed that the economy was struggling in early Q1, even before the Covid-19 hit.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th May 2020 20:10Latin America

21 Apr 2020 Challenging Global Conditions Have Underscored Countries' Fragilities

In Friday's Monitor, we warned that Moody's would soon cut Mexico's credit rating; in a matter of hours, it was a done deal.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Apr 2020 20:10Latin America

30 Mar 2020 The Covid-19 Sovereign Credit Rating Downgrades are Here

The massive hit from low oil prices, Covid-19 and President AMLO's willingness to call snap referendums on projects already under construction is putting pressure on...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Mar 2020 20:20Latin America

18 Mar 2020 LatAm Central Banks Joining the Tide of Global Monetary Easing

The global coronavirus pandemic is hitting the LatAm economy at a particularly vulnerable time, following last year's stuttering economic recovery, temporary shocks in key...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Mar 2020 20:10Latin America

17 Feb 2020 The Coronavirus is a Threat to LatAm, But it Economies Won't Collapse

Over the past 30 years China's role in LatAm and the global economy has increased sharply. Its share of world trade has surged, and its exports have gained significant market...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)16th Feb 2020 19:20Latin America

20 Nov 2019 BRL Pressure Should Ease, Argentina's Inflation Dips Temporarily

Prospects for further rate cuts in Brazil, due to the sluggishness of the economic recovery and low inflation, have played against the BRL in recent weeks.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Nov 2019 19:10Latin America

29 Oct 2019 The Mexican Economy Stagnated in Q3, Q4 Will be Slightly Better

While we were out, data released in Mexico added to our downbeat view of the economy in the near term, supporting our base case for interest rate cuts in the near future.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Oct 2019 20:10Latin America

28 Oct 2019 Fernández Likely Won Argentina's Presidency, Brace for the Worst

Recent polls in Argentina suggest that Alberto Fernández, from the opposition platform Frente de Todos, has comfortably beaten Mauricio Macri, to become Argentina's president.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Oct 2019 20:20Latin America

2 Sept 2019 Argentina in Selective Default, and Things can get Even Worse, Soon

Argentina's economic and financial situation has deteriorated significantly in recent weeks and the outlook is becoming increasingly bleak.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Sep 2019 20:20Latin America

30 April 2019 High Political Risk in Argentina Offsetting Upbeat Economic News

Argentina's financial markets and embattled currency have been under severe pressure in recent weeks, with the ARS hitting a new record low against the USD and government...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Apr 2019 20:10Latin America

12 September 2018 The MXN Remains Resilient, but Can it Withstand Broad EM Pressure

Mexico has been one of LatAm's highlights in terms of financial markets and currency performance in recent months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th Sep 2018 20:20Latin America

18 October 2017 Venezuela's Woes Will Increase Even A er Maduro's "Win"

Venezuela's fundamentals continue to deteriorate, economic chaos is increasing and the social/political situation remains fragile.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Oct 2017 06:30Latin America

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