Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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Banco Central de la Repúublica

6 Jan 2021 Mexico's Manufacturing Struggles, Peru's Inflation is Comfortably Low

The December PMI surveys in Mexico continue to bolster our argument of a subpar economic recovery in the first half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

21 Dec 2020 BanRep Hold Rates in Split Decision, Peru's Recovery Continues

Colombia's BanRep stuck to the script on Friday by leaving the policy rate on hold at 1.75%. This was the third consecutive meeting concluding with no change in rates, but...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

11 Dec 2020 Brazil's Central Bank is Becoming Uneasy About Inflation Prospects

Covid-induced spikes in some inflation components in Brazil, particularly food, are clouding the outlook for next year, and have turned the BCB's policy board--...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

9 Dec 2020 Rising Food Prices are Clouding Brazil's Near-Term Inflation Outlook

Yesterday's inflation report for Brazil confirmed that headline inflation remains relatively stable, on an historic context, but Covid-induced spikes in some components...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

10 Nov 2020 Sticky Inflation in Mexico, but Banxico will be Able to Cut Rates this Week

Headline inflation in Mexico remained sticky in October, and even breached the ceiling of Banxico's target range.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Nov 2020 14:30Latin America

2 Nov 2020 The Covid Crisis in LatAm is Easing, but the Risk of a Second Wave is Real

While we were out, new Covid-19 cases continued to increase in Brazil and Colombia. The latest uptick in Mexico's cases seems to be peaking, though the data are not reliable,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

29 Sept 2020 LatAm Central Banks have Closed the Door to Further Easing

Recent economic data in LatAm have alleviated concerns following weakness in the first half of the year, inflicted by Covid, and have even added some upside risks to our...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

23 Sept 2020 Banxico's Easing Cycle Likely will Begin to Slow Down Tomorrow

Banxico's board will meet tomorrow and we expect a 25bp rate cut to 4.25%, in line with the consensus.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

22 Sept 2020 Encouraging Signs that LatAm is Recovering from the Covid Shock

Our forecast for LatAm envisions a gradual pickup in growth, following a terrible first half.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

21 Sept 2020 Inflation Risks in Argentina are Mounting, Despite the Benign Trend

The Argentinian economic recovery continues, from very depressed levels, and the rebound is confronting many setbacks.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

9 Sept 2020 Inflation in Chile Drifted Lower in August, Risks are Low, for Now

Inflation in most economies in LatAm is well under control, allowing central banks to keep a neutral or dovish bias, and giving them room for further rate cuts if the economic...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

8 Sept 2020 Colombia's Inflation Will Remain Low in Q4 due to Weak Demand

CPI data in Colombia released on Saturday confirmed that inflation is well under control, due to plunging domestic demand on the back of Covid, and despite the lagged effect of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

4 Sep 2020 Chile's Central Bank to Keep Rates on Hold for the Foreseeable Future

Recent hard data have confirmed the severe shock from Corona to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

24 Aug 2020 Weak Growth and Low Inflation in LatAm, Central Banks on Hold

While we were on holiday, the data confirmed that economies have been badly hit by the pandemic in Q2, and that the upturn will be gradual.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Aug 2020 18:30Latin America

7 Aug 2020 Brazil Likely will Keep Rates on Hold, as Long as the Economy Recovers

The Brazilian Central Bank's policy board-- COPOM--met expectations on Wednesday, voting unanimously to cut the Selic rate by 25bp to 2.00%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

22 July 2020 Argentina's Economic Recovery is Underway, but it's a Very Slow Start

Economic activity is rebounding in LatAm, but the recovery will be slow and uneven.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

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