Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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Banca Central de la Repúublica Argentina

6 Jan 2021 Mexico's Manufacturing Struggles, Peru's Inflation is Comfortably Low

The December PMI surveys in Mexico continue to bolster our argument of a subpar economic recovery in the first half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

22 Dec 2020 The Vaccine is arriving in LatAm, but the Near-Term Outlook is Grim

The pandemic is worsening in most of LatAm, triggering a new wave of localised lockdown measures and curfews in order to stop the spread

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

21 Dec 2020 BanRep Hold Rates in Split Decision, Peru's Recovery Continues

Colombia's BanRep stuck to the script on Friday by leaving the policy rate on hold at 1.75%. This was the third consecutive meeting concluding with no change in rates, but...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

18 Dec 2020 Banxico Misses Another Chance, will Argentina's Woes Continue

Mexican policymakers voted by three to two to keep the main rate on hold at 4.25%, its lowest level since early 2006, despite falling inflation, better external conditions, the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

11 Dec 2020 Brazil's Central Bank is Becoming Uneasy About Inflation Prospects

Covid-induced spikes in some inflation components in Brazil, particularly food, are clouding the outlook for next year, and have turned the BCB's policy board--...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

9 Dec 2020 Rising Food Prices are Clouding Brazil's Near-Term Inflation Outlook

Yesterday's inflation report for Brazil confirmed that headline inflation remains relatively stable, on an historic context, but Covid-induced spikes in some components...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)8th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

27 Nov 2020 Mexico's GDP Rebounded in Q3, but there is Still a Long Way to Go

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy rebounded in Q3 from the severe shock during lockdown in Q2, but economic output...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Nov 2020 19:10Latin America

24 Nov 2020 Argentina's Growth Rebounded in Q3, but from Very Depressed Levels

Argentina's economic recovery continues, but it will take some time to see output returning to pre-Covid levels, and note that the economy was suffering even before the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

23 Nov 2020 The Pandemic is Stabilising in Most of LatAm, but Christmas is Approaching

The virus numbers have improved at the margin in most of the LatAm economies, except in Brazil, where the situation seems to be going from bad to worse.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

10 Nov 2020 Sticky Inflation in Mexico, but Banxico will be Able to Cut Rates this Week

Headline inflation in Mexico remained sticky in October, and even breached the ceiling of Banxico's target range.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Nov 2020 14:30Latin America

2 Nov 2020 The Covid Crisis in LatAm is Easing, but the Risk of a Second Wave is Real

While we were out, new Covid-19 cases continued to increase in Brazil and Colombia. The latest uptick in Mexico's cases seems to be peaking, though the data are not reliable,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

30 Sept 2020 Mexico's External Accounts Continue to Improve, for Now

The improvement in Mexico's trade surplus since mid last year consolidated in Q2, albeit not for any welcome reason, as imports fell more sharply than exports on the back of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

29 Sept 2020 LatAm Central Banks have Closed the Door to Further Easing

Recent economic data in LatAm have alleviated concerns following weakness in the first half of the year, inflicted by Covid, and have even added some upside risks to our...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

23 Sept 2020 Banxico's Easing Cycle Likely will Begin to Slow Down Tomorrow

Banxico's board will meet tomorrow and we expect a 25bp rate cut to 4.25%, in line with the consensus.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

22 Sept 2020 Encouraging Signs that LatAm is Recovering from the Covid Shock

Our forecast for LatAm envisions a gradual pickup in growth, following a terrible first half.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

21 Sept 2020 Inflation Risks in Argentina are Mounting, Despite the Benign Trend

The Argentinian economic recovery continues, from very depressed levels, and the rebound is confronting many setbacks.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

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