Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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Balance of Payments

1 Dec 2020 Robust Current Account Balances in Brazil and Mexico, Thanks to Covid

The Covid-related shock has been behind substantial improvements in the current accounts of Brazil and Mexico this year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

30 Sept 2020 Mexico's External Accounts Continue to Improve, for Now

The improvement in Mexico's trade surplus since mid last year consolidated in Q2, albeit not for any welcome reason, as imports fell more sharply than exports on the back of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)29th Sep 2020 20:10Latin America

28 Sept 2020 COPOM's Minutes and the Inflation Report Point to Rates on Hold

Recent economic data in Brazil, along with recent messages from the BCB, have supported our view that interest rates will remain on hold for the foreseeable future.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

7 Aug 2020 Brazil Likely will Keep Rates on Hold, as Long as the Economy Recovers

The Brazilian Central Bank's policy board-- COPOM--met expectations on Wednesday, voting unanimously to cut the Selic rate by 25bp to 2.00%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

5 Aug 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Showing Solid Signs of Gradual Stabilization

Data released this week in Brazil underscored that the Covid-related shock on the industrial sector is finally easing, as the economy gradually reopens.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

4 Aug 2020 Chile's Economic Recovery Started Strongly in June, Despite the Virus

Data released in recent days confirmed the intensity of the Covid-related shock to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

29 July 2020 Brazil's Improving External Accounts Strengthens the Case for a Rate Cut

Brazil's external accounts remain relatively solid, making it easier for the country to withstand any potential external or domestic threat.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

8 July 2020 Inflation will Stay Comfortably Low in the Andes Over the Second Half

The rate of increase of Covid-19 new cases in the Andes is still rapid, but it seems to have peaked in recent days in most countries.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)7th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

29 June 2020 The Mexican Economy Crumbled Even Further During the Lockdown

Data released on Friday in Mexico strengthened the case for further interest rate cuts in Q3. The monthly IGAE economic indicator for April, a proxy for GDP, plunged 19.9%...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Jun 2020 20:20Latin America

20 May 2020 Coronavirus Delivers a Tough Blow to Argentina's Struggling Economy

Hard data released in Argentina over the last month showed that the economy was struggling in early Q1, even before the Covid-19 hit.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th May 2020 20:10Latin America

12 May 2020 Andean Economies Stand Out for their Solid Response to Covid-19

The Andean countries were quick to implement significant measures in response to the initial stage of the pandemic, adopting a broad range of economic and social policies to ease...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)11th May 2020 20:10Latin America

1 Apr 2020 Brazil and Chile Pre-Covid Data were Solid, but the Good News won't Last

Data released this week in LatAm are the last calm before the coronavirus storm.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)31st Mar 2020 20:10Latin America

31 Mar 2020 Covid-19 Brings More Economic Pain for Argentina, and Bondholders

The virus outbreak has been relatively limited so far in Argentina, with 820 confirmed cases, but the numbers are rising rapidly.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Mar 2020 20:10Latin America

13 Mar 2020 LatAm in Peril as the Virus Drives Markets into Panic Mode

LatAm governments and policymakers are bracing for a more dramatic and longer virus-led downturn than initially expected.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Mar 2020 20:20Latin America

11 Mar 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector Started Q1 Strongly, but it won't Last

This has been a very complicated week for LatAm policymakers, who are particularly uneasy about the performance of the FX market.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)10th Mar 2020 20:10Latin America

10 Mar 2020 Heightened Uncertainty Persists in EM, as Oil Prices Continue to Fall

Most countries in LatAm are now fighting a complex global environment; a viral outbreak of biblical proportions and plunging oil prices, after last week's OPEC fiasco.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Mar 2020 20:10Latin America

6 Mar 2020 Brazil's Economic Recovery to Continue, if Covid-19 Allows it

Data released on Wednesday, along with the BCB's press release on Tuesday, supported our longstanding forecast of further rate cuts in Brazil in the very near term.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Mar 2020 19:10Latin America

4 Mar 2020 Brazil's Survey Data Point to a Steady Upturn, but it will Stutter Soon

The key story in Brazil this year remains one of gradual recovery, but downside risks have increased sharply, due mainly to challenging external conditions.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Mar 2020 19:10Latin America

3 Mar 2020 A Bad Q1 for LatAm, DM Stimulus will be Only a Temporary Boost

It has been a nasty start to the year for LatAm as markets have been hit by renewed volatility in China, triggered by the coronavirus.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)2nd Mar 2020 19:10Latin America

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