Latin America Publications
Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email firstname.lastname@example.org, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
- Chile’s recovery continued to stall in Q3, due mostly to plunging domestic demand.
- Conditions will remain difficult in the near term, forcing the BCCh to cut rates early next year.
- The current account deficit has ballooned, but a correction is now underway; the risk will ease soon.
- Colombia’s President had a decent first 100 days in office, with the tax reform as a key achievement...
- ...But conflicting signals, between radicalism and orthodoxy, have hurt and will keep investors on alert.
- BanRep is likely to raise the policy interest rate further, owing to persistent price pressures.
- In one line: Further rate hikes still live.
- In one line: The final rate increase of the cycle.
- August’s inflation data in Mexico and Chile brought a sigh of relief to policymakers...
- ...But core inflation remains sticky, overshooting their forecast; a slowing economy will bring it down in Q1.
- We think Peru's BCRP wrapped up the tightening cycle last week; the BCCh will stay on hold this week.
- In one line: Pause signalled; further tightening requires stubbornly high inflation.
- Brazil’s industrial sector was under pressure in August, but the near-term outlook is positive.
- Improving domestic fundamentals likely will offset the drag from deteriorating external conditions.
- The inflation picture remains ugly in Colombia, with the headline rate still climbing rapidly.
- Chile’s economic recovery continues to go into reverse, despite August’s upbeat IMACEC.
- The recession will continue in Q4, giving further arguments to the BCCh for keeping rates on hold.
- The BanRep minutes reinforced its less-hawkish bias, but now is not the time for inflation complacency.
- In one line: The labour market remains robust, for now.
- Inflation in Brazil is decelerating rapidly, thanks mainly to the effect of tax and tighter financial conditions.
- Leading indicators suggest that the downtrend will continue over the coming months...
- ...But upside risks remain, which will prevent the COPOM from cutting rates any time soon.
- Brazil’s COPOM ends the tightening cycle, as inflation is finally cooling, thanks mainly to tax cuts...
- ...But it was a split and hawkish decision, and rate cuts won’t be on the table anytime soon.
- Inflation pressures persist in Mexico, particularly at the core level, but not for much longer.
- Brazil — Lula’s lead over Bolsonaro holds
- Chile — What is next for the constitutional process?
- Peru — The new Finance Minister is taking action
- Colombia's economic activity index confirmed that the recovery stalled in July, due to high inflation.
- Growth momentum will continue to peter out in the very near term; conditions likely will stabilise in Q4.
- The COPOM likely will keep the Selic rate on hold today, and throughout the remainder of the year.
- Brazil’s economic growth was stronger-than-expected in early July, which will disquiet the COPOM...
- ...But still-high inflation and political uncertainty are already weighing on consumers’ spending.
- Argentinians will soon face triple-digit inflation, driven by rising input costs and the ARS sell-off.
- The headline rate of CPI inflation continues to fall rapidly in Brazil, thanks to recent tax reductions...
- ...But policymakers remain on alert, as the core rate remains sticky, especially non-administered prices.
- Peru’s central bank slowed the march to 25bp; the end of the tightening cycle is near.
- Inflation in Mexico rose in August, meeting expectations, allowing Banxico to hike by 50bp this month.
- The inflation picture remains ugly in Chile, but the recession likely will push it down in Q4.
- The BCCh surprised markets by increasing the main rate by 100bp, but it adopted a neutral bias.
- Inflation in Mexico likely hit a new multi-decade high in August, but likely conditions will improve soon.
- Inflation pressures in Peru are finally easing; the end of the BRCP’s tightening cycle is around the corner.
- Core inflation remains subdued, and a weakening domestic demand will help to push it lower in Q4.
- Voters in Chile have overwhelmingly rejected a new constitution; now it is time for a moderate approach.
- Inflation in Colombia is still running hot, due mostly to food prices and a robust domestic demand.
- BanRep will continue to hike rates this year, but we still believe that inflation will start to fall in Q4.