Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

7 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's industrial output rebounds, but recovery still lacks momentum

  • The broad-based rise in Brazil’s industrial output in August offers short-term relief, as the risks persist.
  • Investment and external demand remain major drags; high interest rates are hurting.
  • Weak confidence and US trade frictions will likely continue to weigh on industry.

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Brazil, August, 2025

  • In one line: Signs of modest recovery in August, but the outlook remains fragile.

6 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Chile's growth slows in August, but core economy shows resilience

  • A mining accident disrupted output in Chile, hurting activity, while commerce provided stability.
  • Fiscal revenues rose on higher royalties and copper prices, though election-year spending risks persist.
  • A right-wing political shift would bring business friendly reforms, likely boosting investor confidence.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, August, 2025

  • In one line: Activity loses momentum in August due mainly to weak mining.

3 October 2025 LatAm Monitor BanRep holds rates as inflation persists, fiscal weakness deepens

  • Split in BanRep’s Board highlights tension between resilient domestic demand and stubborn inflation.
  • Loss of IMF credit line underscores fiscal fragility, fuelling market concerns over Colombia’s credibility.
  • Minimum wage talks risk entrenching inflation, limiting BanRep’s scope for near-term easing.

September 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

LATAM ACTIVITY WEAKENS AS POLICY STAYS RESTRICTIVE…

  • …DISINFLATION ADVANCES, BUT CORE PRESSURES CLOUD OUTLOOK

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Retail Sales, and Unemployment, Chile, August, 2025

  • In one line: Retail and manufacturing support growth, labour market improving at the margin.

2 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Global headwinds keep LatAm markets on edge

  • Brazilian Real —  Gains fade after early rally
  • Mexican Peso —  Resilient, but facing resistance
  • Argentinian Peso — Volatility as political noise builds

1 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Argentina nears tipping point as growth slows and risks rise

  • Economic activity in Argentina contracts again as fiscal constraints and political instability weigh…
  • …The US backstop boosts stability, but the October mid-term elections will test the credibility of reforms.
  • A resilient labour market in Brazil masks cooling momentum, with job creation fading.
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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,