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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

11 April 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's inflation eases in March; job growth remains worryingly weak

  • Mexico’s core inflation is contained, allowing Banxico to cut rates despite mounting global trade uncertainty.
  • Job creation improved slightly in March, but the Q1 performance signals deeper structural weakness.
  • Brazil’s retail resilience faces mounting pressure from labour-market cooling and tight credit.

10 April 2025 LatAm Monitor Hit by global trade tensions and domestic uncertainties

  • Mexican Peso — Exposed to further tariff noise
  • Argentinian Peso — Stability or mirage
  • Colombian Peso — Under stress from oil and trade shocks

9 April 2025 LatAm Monitor Inflation receding in Colombia, but underlying pressures persist

  • Colombia’s disinflation resumed in March, and still-tight financial conditions will help it continue in Q2…
  • …But the COP’s sell-off amid trade tensions will limit disinflation’s progress and hurt import costs.
  • Chile’s inflation rebounded in March but will slow in Q2, although trade volatility raises new risks.

8 April 2025 LatAm Monitor Central banks facing turmoil from trade and financial shocks

  • A muted tariff hit masks deeper vulnerabilities in trade exposure, export composition and market volatility.
  • Central banks will shift gear as the trade shock, falling capex and weak demand cloud the outlook.
  • Peru’s disinflation is on track, but the trade war is a threat to the relatively benign outlook.

7 April 2025 LatAm Monitor LatAm positioned to capitalise on trade shifts and tariff pressures

  • Mr. Trump’s tariff uncertainty will continue to weigh on LatAm’s prospects, despite it not being hit too hard.
  • Mexico is aiming for fiscal discipline, but rising debt and optimistic forecasts threaten its credibility, again.
  • Structural reforms, a Pemex overhaul and looking beyond the US are key to stabilising its debt outlook.

4 April 2025 LatAm Monitor LatAm emerges as a modest trade hedge amid US tariff shock

  • USMCA compliance shields Mexico, for now, as tariff risks shift to non-aligning sectors.
  • The US tariff war creates winners in LatAm, as Asia bears the brunt, but collateral damage is a threat.
  • Faltering sentiment and tight financial conditions are weighing on Brazil’s industrial sector.

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Brazil, February, 2025

  • In one line: Reduced confidence and tight financial conditions are drags.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, February, 2025

  • In one line: A poor headline, but the underlying trend remains positive.

2 April 2025 LatAm Monitor

  • BanRep left rates on hold, due to persistent inflation pressures despite mixed progress…
  • …But new Board members boost the doves’ influence, hinting at potential rate cuts ahead, COP permitting.
  • Chile’s IMACEC highlights temporary setbacks in the recovery, but fundamentals point to sustained growth.

1 April 2025 LatAm Monitor Mixed signals for Chile in February, but Q1 overall looks decent

  • Chile’s economic data for February show weakness, but growth momentum remains positive for Q1.
  • Geopolitical tensions and the US trade war threaten Chile’s trade-dependent economy and key sectors.
  • Argentina’s economy has started Q1 on a solid footing, but key challenges are emerging.
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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,