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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Emerging Asia Chartbook Datanotes Weekly Monitor

16 June 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's inflation eases in May, allowing the BCB to stand pat this week

  • A stronger BRL and improved food supply helped ease headline inflation pressures in Brazil in May.
  • Services and regulated prices continue to drive core inflation above the BCB’s 3% target.
  • The BCB will hold rates, but fiscal risk and global uncertainty threaten to derail the recent price stability.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, April, 2025

  • In one line: Recovery maintaining a solid pace, but external headwinds still loom.

May 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

TRADE TRUCE BRINGS LATAM MODEST GAINS…

  • …BUT DOMESTIC FRAGILITIES UNDERMINE GROWTH PROSPECTS

PM Datanote: GDP, First Quarter, Brazil, 2025

  • In one line: Boost­ed by agriculture and capex, but momentum set to fade. 

2 June 2025 LatAm Monitor A strong start to 2025 for Brazil, but the outlook remains cautious

  • A record agricultural harvest fuelled Brazil’s Q1 growth, but momentum is likely to slow.
  • Services and capex held up, while industrial output shrank due to restrictive monetary policy.
  • The job market’s resilience complicates the COPOM’s position, but conditions will deteriorate soon enough.

27 May 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's external balance improves, but growing risks cloud the outlook

  • Mexico’s current account deficit narrowed sharply in Q1, thanks to resilient exports and remittance inflows.
  • Financial inflows weakened amid US trade tensions, global volatility, and domestic political uncertainty.
  • The proposed US remittance tax and economic slow- down threaten to disrupt Mexico’s external stability.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Brazil, March, 2025

  • In one line: Q1 surge driven by agriculture; broader gains show resilience.

PM Datanote: GDP, Chile, Q1, 2025

  • In one line: Q1 growth solid, but momentum set to ease.

19 May 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico delivers another 50bp rate cut amid weak growth

  • Banxico cut rates again, but its tone was more cautious due to the recent uptick in Mexico’s inflation.
  • Economic activity is weak, and inflation is within the target range, supporting the case for further easing.
  • Argentina’s inflation slowed sharply in April, defying expectations after the FX liberalisation.

PM Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, March, 2025

  • In one line: Retail finishes Q1 strongly, but headwinds still limit momentum.

PM Datanote: Inflation IPCA, Brazil, April, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation steady in April, but underlying pressures persist, for now.

12 May 2025 LatAm Monitor Inflation ticks higher in Mexico, but underlying pressures are contained

  • Headline and core inflation in Mexico rose in April, driven mainly by seasonal services price rises…
  • …But underlying trends are contained and demand remains subdued, allowing Banxico to cut this week.
  • Peru’s BCRP cut rates to 4.50% and signalled a shift towards neutral, as inflation is well anchored, for now.

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, April, 2025

  • In one line: Underlying pressures remain in check, despite a bad start to Q2.

PM Datanote: CPI, Chile, April, 2025

  • In one line: Disinflation resumes, and the near-term outlook remains benign.
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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,