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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Daily Monitor

4 November 2025 LatAm Monitor BanRep holds rates as inflation risks persist; Chile's recovery continues

  • High inflation and wage pressures reinforce BanRep’s cautious policy normalisation stance.
  • The fiscal strategy has shifted towards revenue measures, as structural rigidities limit spending cuts.
  • Chile’s broad-based rebound in September confirms domestic demand strength and easing mining issues.

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

  • In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.

29 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Labour markets in Brazil and Mexico show signs of softening

  • The job market is softening in Mexico as weak growth and investment weigh on employment creation.
  • Brazil’s unemployment rate remains close to lows, but beneath the surface it is gradually cooling…
  • …This resilience masks weakening fundamentals as high real rates and fading fiscal buffers bite.

28 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Policy shift nears in Brazil as disinflation deepens; Milei's win

  • October’s IPCA-15 shows headline inflation is back below 5% in Brazil, amid weaker demand…
  • …A resilient BRL and falling fuel costs strengthen the case for a cautious BCB rate cut.
  • Mr. Milei’s legislative win boosts Argentinian assets, limits governability risk and opens door to reform.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Mexico, August, 2025

  • In one line: Uneven performance, but risks remain tilted to the downside.

24 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's economy weakened in Q3, but fragile stabilisation lies ahead

  • Industry in Mexico remains in contraction, with services sustaining limited but consistent growth.
  • Easing headline inflation gives Banxico room to make cautious, data-driven policy rate cuts.
  • Fiscal support and lower rates will help cushion growth, but structural headwinds persist into 2026.

22 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Mr. Petro's reckless diplomacy deepens crisis with Washington

  • President Petro’s confrontation with Washington risks undoing decades of cooperation and stability.
  • Economic activity is weakening as the construction and service sectors lose growth momentum.
  • Fiscal pressures, policy uncertainty and political noise threaten the fragile recovery.

21 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Swap deal buys Argentina time ahead of mid-term elections

  • Argentina has secured US support as elections near, but political uncertainty is keeping markets on edge.
  • The swap deal buys time, yet weak demand and fiscal pressures are weighing on the outlook.
  • Peru’s economy is maintaining solid growth despite political instability and pre-election uncertainty.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Brazil, August, 2025

  • In one line: A modest improvement, but risks remain biased to the downside.

17 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Slight momentum in Brazil's economy, but the outlook is fragile

  • August’s modest IBC-BR rebound masks persistent weakness across Brazil’s key sectors.
  • Retail and services show a tentative stabilisation, but tight credit and high rates continue to hurt demand.
  • Fiscal transfers offer temporary support, but restrictive policy will keep growth subdued in 2026.

16 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Rising political tensions, trade frictions, and fiscal strains

  • Brazil — President Lula gains ground amid tensions
  • Mexico — Trade, security and stability
  • Chile — Conservatives hold ground prior to crucial vote

15 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Sticky inflation keeps BanRep cautious; Chile's disinflation pauses

  • Core inflation remains elevated in Colombia, highlighting persistent demand across key sectors.
  • BanRep is likely to hold rates as minimum-wage risks and inflation expectations challenge policy flexibility.
  • Temporary price pressures lifted September inflation in Chile, but disinflation is likely to resume in Q4.

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, September, 2025

  • In one line: Disinflation holds, but core pressures persist.

10 October 2025 LatAm Monitor BraMex inflation: diverging paths, same cautious central banks

  • Brazil’s disinflation is continuing amid an electricity tariff shock and strong currency support.
  • Mexico’s inflation is steady in late Q3, pressured by services despite softening in goods inflation.
  • Central banks will tread cautiously, balancing rate cuts with sticky core inflation and economic growth.

9 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Resilient gains despite regional challenges; cautious optimism into late Q4

  • Brazil — Rally on easing inflation
  • Mexico — From record peaks to profit-taking
  • Chile — Market consolidates after regional volatility

8 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Peru's inflation edges higher, but policy remains comfortably neutral

  • The mild inflation uptick in Peru was driven by base effects, underlying price pressures remain in check.
  • Economic momentum is holding steady, with construction, credit and labour markets resilient.
  • Fiscal discipline and solid external accounts support PEN stability amid mounting political uncertainty.

7 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's industrial output rebounds, but recovery still lacks momentum

  • The broad-based rise in Brazil’s industrial output in August offers short-term relief, as the risks persist.
  • Investment and external demand remain major drags; high interest rates are hurting.
  • Weak confidence and US trade frictions will likely continue to weigh on industry.
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Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,