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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Chartbook Datanotes Weekly Monitor

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

  • In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.

3 November 2025 LatAm Monitor BCCh holds rates as political noise grows; Mexico's GDP falls in Q3

  • BCCh’s cautious pause reflects sticky core inflation, fragile job data and sensitivity to election-driven noise.
  • …Disinflation, a stable CLP and lower energy tariffs will justify a 25bp cut in December.
  • Mexico’s GDP shrank in Q3 as industry weakened further and services plateaued; Q4 will be better.

27 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Chile's election nears as markets balance optimism and political risk

  • Mr. Kast has steady support in Chile, but fragmented politics and social tensions cloud reform prospects.
  • Macro fundamentals remain sound, though capex weakness limits near-term growth momentum.
  • Fiscal credibility and governance will determine the durability of Chile’s post-election market stability.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Mexico, August, 2025

  • In one line: Uneven performance, but risks remain tilted to the downside.

20 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's economy struggling as tight conditions and trade uncertainty bite

  • Mexico’s industrial output fell, as mining and construction wiped out fragile manufacturing gains.
  • The job market is cooling and falling remittances are squeezing incomes, hurting private consumption.
  • Fiscal stimulus and Banxico rate cuts will cushion growth, but recovery prospects remain fragile.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Brazil, August, 2025

  • In one line: A modest improvement, but risks remain biased to the downside.

14 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Political turmoil deepens in Peru, but macro stability endures

  • Peru’s Congress has impeached President Boluarte, amid surging crime and collapsing support.
  • Interim President Jerí assumes office with a limited mandate; restoring confidence will be a challenge.
  • Peru’s economy is holding firm despite the saga, supported by strong institutions and fundamentals.

PM Datanote: CPI, Mexico, September, 2025

  • In one line: Disinflation holds, but core pressures persist.

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Brazil, August, 2025

  • In one line: Signs of modest recovery in August, but the outlook remains fragile.

6 October 2025 LatAm Monitor Chile's growth slows in August, but core economy shows resilience

  • A mining accident disrupted output in Chile, hurting activity, while commerce provided stability.
  • Fiscal revenues rose on higher royalties and copper prices, though election-year spending risks persist.
  • A right-wing political shift would bring business friendly reforms, likely boosting investor confidence.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, August, 2025

  • In one line: Activity loses momentum in August due mainly to weak mining.

September 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

LATAM ACTIVITY WEAKENS AS POLICY STAYS RESTRICTIVE…

  • …DISINFLATION ADVANCES, BUT CORE PRESSURES CLOUD OUTLOOK

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Retail Sales, and Unemployment, Chile, August, 2025

  • In one line: Retail and manufacturing support growth, labour market improving at the margin.

29 September 2025 LatAm Monitor Banxico eases amid fragile growth, inflation, and trade uncertainty

  • Monetary policy in Mexico is shifting cautiously, as inflation is sticky and growth prospects weaker.
  • The trade deficit widened in August due to the oil sector and tariff-related external uncertainty.
  • MXN appreciation and USMCA compliance support stability, despite ongoing external and fiscal risks.

22 September 2025 LatAm Monitor Colombia's recovery gains traction, but fiscal and external risks deepen

  • Services and consumption drive growth in Colombia, but weak exports and capex are still limiting.
  • Fiscal credibility deteriorates as deficits widen, and the Petro government suspends key safeguards.
  • Policy options narrow as inflation expectations rise and political risk builds ahead of the 2026 elections.
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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,