Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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Economic Monitor

22 Jan 2021 COPOM Confirms it will Start to Hike Rates, but not Immediately

Brazil's COPOM surprised no one by voting unanimously this week to keep the Selic Rate at 2.00%, an historic low, and removing the previous forward guidance.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

20 Jan 2021 Colombia's Recovery Continues, but the Second Wave will Hurt in Q1

Colombia's economic recovery continued throughout mid-Q4, according to data released on Monday, but momentum is fading, and the Q1 outlook is deteriorating rapidly,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)19th Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

6 Jan 2021 Mexico's Manufacturing Struggles, Peru's Inflation is Comfortably Low

The December PMI surveys in Mexico continue to bolster our argument of a subpar economic recovery in the first half of the year.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)5th Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

Latam Economic Outlook H1 2021

Latam Economic Outlook H1 2021

Peter Bennett5th Jan 2021 09:31Latin America

23 Dec 2020 Inflation Surprises to the Downside in Brazil, Covid-19 Remains a Threat

Brazil's economic outlook for next year is positive, due mainly to still-low inflation, which will allow the BCB to keep low interest rates for longer.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)22nd Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

22 Dec 2020 The Vaccine is arriving in LatAm, but the Near-Term Outlook is Grim

The pandemic is worsening in most of LatAm, triggering a new wave of localised lockdown measures and curfews in order to stop the spread

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

21 Dec 2020 BanRep Hold Rates in Split Decision, Peru's Recovery Continues

Colombia's BanRep stuck to the script on Friday by leaving the policy rate on hold at 1.75%. This was the third consecutive meeting concluding with no change in rates, but...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

18 Dec 2020 Banxico Misses Another Chance, will Argentina's Woes Continue

Mexican policymakers voted by three to two to keep the main rate on hold at 4.25%, its lowest level since early 2006, despite falling inflation, better external conditions, the...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)17th Dec 2020 19:10Latin America

16 Dec 2020 Colombia Ends the Year Solidly, but Downside Risks for Q1 Emerge

Incoming activity data from Colombia over the past quarter have been relatively strong, as economic activity resumes in key regions badly affected by the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)15th Dec 2020 17:30Latin America

14 Dec 2020 Conditions are Settling into Place for Banxico to Cut Rates Soon

Data released last week strengthened the case for interest rate cuts in Mexico in the very near term. Our base case is that Banxico will cut by 25bp to 4.0% on Thursday, by a slim...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)13th Dec 2020 19:20Latin America

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