Latin America Publications
Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)
- In one line: Disinflation anchored by a stronger BRL.
- In one line: Uneven performance, but risks remain tilted to the downside.
- Industry in Mexico remains in contraction, with services sustaining limited but consistent growth.
- Easing headline inflation gives Banxico room to make cautious, data-driven policy rate cuts.
- Fiscal support and lower rates will help cushion growth, but structural headwinds persist into 2026.
- President Petro’s confrontation with Washington risks undoing decades of cooperation and stability.
- Economic activity is weakening as the construction and service sectors lose growth momentum.
- Fiscal pressures, policy uncertainty and political noise threaten the fragile recovery.
- Argentina has secured US support as elections near, but political uncertainty is keeping markets on edge.
- The swap deal buys time, yet weak demand and fiscal pressures are weighing on the outlook.
- Peru’s economy is maintaining solid growth despite political instability and pre-election uncertainty.
- Mexico’s industrial output fell, as mining and construction wiped out fragile manufacturing gains.
- The job market is cooling and falling remittances are squeezing incomes, hurting private consumption.
- Fiscal stimulus and Banxico rate cuts will cushion growth, but recovery prospects remain fragile.
- In one line: A modest improvement, but risks remain biased to the downside.
- August’s modest IBC-BR rebound masks persistent weakness across Brazil’s key sectors.
- Retail and services show a tentative stabilisation, but tight credit and high rates continue to hurt demand.
- Fiscal transfers offer temporary support, but restrictive policy will keep growth subdued in 2026.
- Brazil — President Lula gains ground amid tensions
- Mexico — Trade, security and stability
- Chile — Conservatives hold ground prior to crucial vote
- Core inflation remains elevated in Colombia, highlighting persistent demand across key sectors.
- BanRep is likely to hold rates as minimum-wage risks and inflation expectations challenge policy flexibility.
- Temporary price pressures lifted September inflation in Chile, but disinflation is likely to resume in Q4.
- Peru’s Congress has impeached President Boluarte, amid surging crime and collapsing support.
- Interim President Jerí assumes office with a limited mandate; restoring confidence will be a challenge.
- Peru’s economy is holding firm despite the saga, supported by strong institutions and fundamentals.
- In one line: Disinflation holds, but core pressures persist.
- Brazil’s disinflation is continuing amid an electricity tariff shock and strong currency support.
- Mexico’s inflation is steady in late Q3, pressured by services despite softening in goods inflation.
- Central banks will tread cautiously, balancing rate cuts with sticky core inflation and economic growth.
- Brazil — Rally on easing inflation
- Mexico — From record peaks to profit-taking
- Chile — Market consolidates after regional volatility
- The mild inflation uptick in Peru was driven by base effects, underlying price pressures remain in check.
- Economic momentum is holding steady, with construction, credit and labour markets resilient.
- Fiscal discipline and solid external accounts support PEN stability amid mounting political uncertainty.
- The broad-based rise in Brazil’s industrial output in August offers short-term relief, as the risks persist.
- Investment and external demand remain major drags; high interest rates are hurting.
- Weak confidence and US trade frictions will likely continue to weigh on industry.
- In one line: Signs of modest recovery in August, but the outlook remains fragile.
- A mining accident disrupted output in Chile, hurting activity, while commerce provided stability.
- Fiscal revenues rose on higher royalties and copper prices, though election-year spending risks persist.
- A right-wing political shift would bring business friendly reforms, likely boosting investor confidence.
- In one line: Activity loses momentum in August due mainly to weak mining.
- Split in BanRep’s Board highlights tension between resilient domestic demand and stubborn inflation.
- Loss of IMF credit line underscores fiscal fragility, fuelling market concerns over Colombia’s credibility.
- Minimum wage talks risk entrenching inflation, limiting BanRep’s scope for near-term easing.
