Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Emerging Asia Chartbook Datanotes Weekly Monitor Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Brazil, January, 2025

  • In one line: Better, but the overall picture is still one of subpar growth. 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Retail Sales, Brazil, January, 2025

  • In one line: Tight financial conditions remain a drag at the core level.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

17 March 2025 LatAm Monitor Dovish data flow in Brazil; central banks responding to US tariff noise

  • Brazil’s retail sector is struggling as spending weakens amid uncertainty and higher interest rates.
  • The service sector is slowing; high borrowing costs and softening labour-market conditions are drags.
  • The trade war forces central banks to adopt a cautious approach, delaying a faster regional economic upturn.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, February, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation pressures persist despite economic activity slowing.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

10 March 2025 LatAm Monitor Trade, inflation and economic activity risks under Trump 2.0

  • The US tariff delay brings temporary relief, but uncertainty looms beyond April; capex will still be hurt.
  • Brazil’s real GDP slowed sharply in Q4, due to falling private consumption and softening capex.
  • H1 will be better, at face value, thanks to robust agricultural output and government stimulus.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

3 March 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's labour market still resilient, but not for long

  • Brazil’s labour market remained resilient in January, at face value, but is showing some signs of cooling.
  • The current account deficit increased in January, but the underlying picture remains benign.
  • Foreign investment beat expectations, despite a difficult external and domestic backdrop.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

February 2025 - Latin America Chartbook

TRADE NOISE TESTS LATAM’S RESILIENCE…

  • …AND TIGHT FINANCIAL CONDITIONS REMAIN A THREAT

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Inflation IPCA-15, Brazil, February

  • In one line: Undershooting expectations, but the outlook remains difficult.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Final GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2024

  • In one line: A bad end to the year, and downside risks have increased.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

24 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's economic outlook worsens amid external and domestic risks

  • Mexico’s GDP contracted in Q4, with weak industrial and agricultural sectors driving the decline.
  • The IGAE point to a subpar Q1; rising external— trade—uncertainty weighs heavily on growth.
  • Banxico faces a tough balancing act, as inflation risks and policy noise cloud its rate-cut decisions.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,