Pantheon Macroeconomics

Best viewed on a device with a bigger screen...

Latin America Publications

Below is a list of our Latin America Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Daily Monitor Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

14 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's economic activity ends Q4 on weak note, and H1 looks poor

  • Private consumption in Brazil slowed rapidly in Q4, and weakening fundamentals point to a poor H1.
  • Falling consumer confidence and worsening PMIs highlight the continued economic struggles.
  • Chile’s BCCh faces inflation pressures, amid speculation on potential interest rate hikes soon.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Inflation, Brazil, January, 2025

  • In one line: Modest January pressures offer little relief to a challenging inflation outlook.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

13 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Mixed fortunes and cautious optimism in early 2025

  • Brazil — A solid start to the year as sentiment improves
  • Mexico — A solid rebound, but threats remain
  • Colombia — Economic tailwinds offset political noise

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

12 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Temporary disinflation in Brazil; Mexico's industrial sector woes

  • Brazil’s inflation dipped slightly in January, but the near-term outlook remains bleak…
  • …But pressures will ease in H2 as weakening domestic and external demand weigh on inflation.
  • A very, very ugly outlook for Mexico’s industrial sector under Trump 2.0; it could be avoided though.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

11 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Balancing act for BanRep and BCCh as inflation sees 'temporary' shocks

  • Colombia’s disinflation has paused, complicating BanRep’s efforts to support activity.
  • Increased political noise, elevated fiscal strain and external uncertainty are challenges for policymakers.
  • Chile’s electricity-tariff hike sparks an inflation surge, dimming hopes for further rate cuts.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Banxico Announcement, Mexico, February, 2025

  • In one line: A larger cut; improving inflation outlook allows for bolder action.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Inflation, Mexico, January, 2025

  • In one line: A good start to the year, supporting further policy normalisation. 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Inflation, Chile, January, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation spikes in January, driven by electricity tariffs.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Brazil, December, 2024

  • In one line: The first quarterly contraction in more than a year, and the outlook is difficult.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

7 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's industrial slowdown emerging; inflation fully under control in Peru

  • Brazil’s industrial output beat consensus in December, yet leading indicators point to a weakening trend.
  • January’s COPOM minutes reveal a hawkish stance, despite economic activity softening.
  • Peru’s inflation remains well on target, paving the way for a final rate cut in Q2, assuming a stable PEN.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

6 February 025 LatAm Monitor A solid start for LatAm currencies, but external noise remains a threat

  •  Brazilian Real — Resilience in the face of adversity
  • Mexican Peso — Complex economic and external waters
  • Colombian Peso — Trade and fiscal issues in the spotlight 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

5 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Chile's economy shone brightly in Q4, and the outlook is positive

  • The industrial and commerce sectors are driving Chile’s growth, despite persistent issues in services.
  • Confidence indicators are on the mend, as activity navigates complex reforms and external pressures.
  • The BCCh will have to take a cautious approach amid sluggish employment growth and high inflation.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, December, 2024

  • In one line: The recovery continues, and expect further good news in Q1. 

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

4 February 2025 LatAm Monitor Temporary trade-war pause signals Mexico and US will collaborate

  • Presidents Sheinbaum and Trump agreed to pause tariffs, focusing on border-security cooperation.
  • BanRep held interest rates at 9.5%, surprising the consensus, citing inflation and Petro-Trump tensions.
  • Increasing inflation expectations and high labour costs are further threats, but BanRep will cut again.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q4, 2025

  • In one line: A terrible end to the year, and downside risks have increased.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

  Publication Filters

Change View: List   Small Grid  

Filter by Keyword

Filter by Region

Filter by Publication Type

Filter by Date
(6 months only; older publications available on request)

  Quick Tag Filters
Consistently Right
Access Key Enabled Navigation
Keywords for: Latin America

Latin America Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,