Global Publications
Below is a list of our Global Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist) Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)
In one line: Inflation is headed for 3%, and it will stay close to this level for a while.
- US - The fading tariff hit will overwhelm oil’s impact on core inflation
- EUROZONE - Energy shock’s hit to growth in Spain and Italy will mainly start from Q2
- UK - GDP likely trending up before the war in Iran
- CHINA+ - Iran war hits China via trade channel, but with limited impact
- EM ASIA - Vietnam’s solid Q1 GDP may be as good as it gets in 2026
- LATAM - Chile’s growth stalling, but BCCh is stuck on hold
- US - The March labor market data look worse beneath the surface
- EUROZONE - Further rise in price pressures will keep the SNB on the sidelines
- UK - Rundown of high saving rate can set a floor under spending in 2026
- CHINA+ - China’s profit turnaround meshes with strategic drive for high-tech
- EM ASIA - Inflation, not growth, is a bigger near-term issue for ASEAN factories
- LATAM - Credibility risks now dominate Colombia’s policy outlook
In one line: The stagflation shock is underway.
- US - The labor market is too weak to embed the Iran war inflation shock
- EUROZONE - EZ inflation will hit 3% soon, prompting two hikes by the ECB
- UK - Forecast review: lower growth, higher inflation, MPC on hold
- CHINA+ - China’s elderly-care insurance reform will lift GDP, but only slowly
- EM ASIA - INR’s ‘record’ fall in context; more a threat to Q2 growth than inflation
- LATAM - Banxico resumes easing, but rising risks sharply limit further cuts
- US - Markets are overlooking the labor market damage of the oil shock
- EUROZONE - ECB quietly endorses market expectations for hikes this year
- UK - Hawkish set of MPC minutes lowers the bar to hikes in 2026
- CHINA+ - China’s private sector starting to revive in selected areas
- EM ASIA - India should be able to stomach oil at $150 this year; main risk is 2027
- LATAM - Benign inflation in Brazil, but oil shock clouds COPOM outlook
- US - How would the Fed react if oil prices soar to $150?
- EUROZONE - EZ inflation to jump to just under 3% by May; ECB will hike in response
- UK - Oil prices will need to go higher for longer to justify a rate hike
- CHINA+ - China less exposed to the oil-price jolt than Japan
- EM ASIA - India should be able to stomach oil at $150 this year; main risk is 2027
- LATAM - Energy shock tests growth, inflation and policy outlook
In one line: Balanced, until the mic drop at the end.
- In one line: From a “good place” to a stagflationary shock.
In one line: The ECB is no longer 'in a good place.'
- US - Consumers look less resilient going into the energy price squeeze
- EUROZONE - Three scenarios for the ECB as a new energy shock hits
- UK - MPC preview: Bank Rate on hold and more cautious guidance
- CHINA+ - China’s low inflation cushions against energy-price shock
- EM ASIA - EA activity heap maps; major exporters still outperforming
- LATAM - Benign inflation in Brazil, but oil shock clouds COPOM outlook
- EUROZONE - Three scenarios for the ECB as a new energy shock hits
- UK - GDP still on track to rise by 0.3% quarter-to-quarter in Q1
- CHINA+ - China seeks to project stability, while gradually patching up domestic issues
- EM ASIA - India and Indonesia will be backed into fuel hikes, but not yet rate hikes
- LATAM - Oil shock tests LatAm assets and central banks; Chile’s delicate start
In one line: Revision due to Ireland; core domestic demand was strong.
- US - Soft February jobs to imply Fed will ease again midyear, despite Iran war
- EUROZONE - Markets now look for an ECB hike this year, but we doubt it
- UK - Energy prices could stop the MPC cutting more than once this year
- CHINA+ - Low Tokyo headline inflation allows BoJ to take its time on rate moves
- EM ASIA - India’s new GDP more stable and carries greater credibility
- LATAM - Brazil’s inflation still benign as seasonal hits distort February print
In one line: Dovish, but far from underwriting a further rate cut.
- US - Does 2025 consumption data support the K-shaped narrative?
- EUROZONE - EZ February PMIs keep alive the idea of a modest cyclical upturn
- UK - March rate cut highly likely after jobless rate hits 5 year high
- CHINA+ - Momentum but no boom in the Year of the Horse
- EM ASIA - Has the sun set on Taiwan’s non-electronics industries?
- LATAM - Mexico activity stabilises after Q4 rebound, but risks loom in 2026
In one line: A modest rebound, but GDP growth is doing better than implied by the PMIs.
- US - Payrolls will slow in February, as the weather lift fades
- EUROZONE - Negative SNB rates unlikely even if inflation hits sub-zero in February
- UK - CPI preview 2: Shave our January forecast to 3.0%
- CHINA+ - China starting to recognise the need for a fresh property policy
- EM ASIA - Taiwan’s export growth reaches the highest print since the 1970s
- LATAM - Our LatAm team is on annual leave. Publication will resume on February 25.
