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9th Jun 2025 17:53EurozoneWeekly Monitor

  • The BTP-Bund spread has held broadly steady at around 100bp so far this year. 
  • We still see scope for further narrowing in 2025, to 70bp, implying BTPs trading inside OATs in France. 
  • Risks are broadly balanced, with German stimulus a downside and further trade uncertainty an upside.

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Keywords for: 11 June 2025 Eurozone Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence