Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Eurozone Publications

Below is a list of our Eurozone Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

italy

EZ Datanote: Money Supply, Eurozone, Jan 2023 & ISTAT Business Sentiment, Italy, Feb 2023

In one line: Money data still point to downside risks for EZ GDP; Improvement in Italian business confidence stalls.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: GDP & Employment, Eurozone, Q4 2022

In one line: The EZ economy remained resilient at the end of 2022. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, Italy, December

In one line: The decline in output in Q4 was double that in Q3, despite the stellar December.  

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Advance GDP, EZ & Italy, Q4 2022

In one line: A small rise despite the falls in Italian and German GDP.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

12 Jan 2023 Eurozone Monitor BTP Yields will Rise, but the Italian Yield Curve is Not About to Invert

  • Italian bond yields offer an attractive carry, but yields are likely to stay high this year and next...
  • ...Even if the spread to bunds falls, as we expect, assuming Italy doesn’t rock the boat with the EU.
  • We expect BTP yields to rise to 4.35% by June, before easing back to 4.0% by year-end.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, EZ, November 2022

In one line: The jobless rate will rise again as the EZ economy enters recession.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, December

In one line: Overall business sentiment improves, despite messy budget negotiations.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Advance Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, December 2022

In one line: The holidays are lifting consumers’ spirits but consumption still likely fell in Q4. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, Italy, October

In one line: Industry will be a drag on Italian GDP growth again in Q4.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

2 Dec 2022 Eurozone Monitor Consumption will Pull Down Italian GDP in the Coming Quarters

Consumption propelled Italian economic growth in Q2 and Q3 but it will drag GDP down in Q4 and Q1.

We now look for a worse, albeit still shallow, recession in Italy over the coming quarters.

Swiss November inflation data support our call for just one more rate rise in the SNB’s hiking cycle.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, EZ, October 2022

In one line: A new record low; labour market resilience will fade soon.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, November

In one line: Green shoots are showing; retail confidence is on a tear.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

25 Nov 2022 Eurozone Monitor Italy's Meloni Avoids a Truss 2.0 Moment, Despite Higher Spend

The new budget in Italy means consumption growth will slow less than we previously thought in 2023. 

Financial markets welcomed the budget; we are revising down our call for the rise in the BTP yield. 

We look for the yield to rise to 4.0%, and we think it will stay around that level for most of next year.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: GDP, Trade & ZEW, EZ & Germany, Q3 2022/Sep/Nov

In one line: Confirmation of the downturn in Q3; investor sentiment remains depressed.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: GDP, Trade & ZEW, EZ & Germany, Q3 2022/Sep/Nov

In one line: Confirmation of the downturn in Q3; investor sentiment remains depressed.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Advance GDP, Italy, Q3 2022

In one line: Surprisingly strong; Q4 won’t be as good. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

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Keywords for: Eurozone Documents

Eurozone Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence